Criciúma vs Botafogo SP: match statistics
Criciúma vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Criciúma played against Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on April 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Criciúma has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Botafogo SP has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Criciúma scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 0.67. Botafogo SP scores 2.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Criciúma's games and 67% of Botafogo SP's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 100%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Criciúma has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.57 per game. Criciúma takes 16.7 shots per game, while Botafogo SP takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Criciúma leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Botafogo SP leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Criciúma's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Botafogo SP, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.17 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). Botafogo SP, sitting 4th versus 11th-ranked Criciúma, holds the edge in offensive metrics: 7 goals in the season vs 2, and 9 goals in the last 5 matches with 3 wins, while Criciúma has 5 goals in the last 5. Criciúma dominates possession (71% vs 32%) and generates many attempts at home (avg. 32 shots and 7 on target) with a high xG of 3, but suffers from a very low conversion rate of 3%, translating to an average of 1.0 goal per match and a 100% draw rate at home (0% wins). Botafogo is markedly more efficient: away they average 13 shots (5 on target), 15% conversion, 2.0 goals per match with xG 1.41 and collect 1.8 points in the last 5 matches versus Criciúma’s 1.4. Considering the visitors’ rapid efficiency (15% conversion and 2.0 goals/away), superior goal metrics and more consistent form, I assess probabilities at 60% for Botafogo, 25% for a draw and 15% for Criciúma.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The advantage for BTTS signals comes from Botafogo SP having a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% versus Criciúma's 50%, and the league registering BTTS 60%, indicating frequent Goal/Goal outcomes. Both teams are offensively active: Criciúma averages 2.5 goals per match, Botafogo 2.0, with average xG of 1.66 (Criciúma) and 1.41 (Botafogo), and 15.5 and 13.0 shots on average respectively (28.5 combined). Additionally, both record 5.0 shots on target and conversion rates of 16% (Criciúma) vs 15% (Botafogo), which increases the likelihood of chances being converted. Limiting factors include 50% clean sheets for the home side and a weaker recent-5 form signal (BTTS 40% for both), so a No Goal risk exists; nevertheless the strongest single indicator (BTTS 100% for Botafogo) along with supporting xG and shot volume favors a Yes (BTTS - Yes) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG values and the opponent’s defensive data, I estimate 1.48 expected goals for Criciúma (attacking xG 1.66 vs opponent’s xG conceded 1.29) and 1.22 for Botafogo SP (attacking xG 1.41 vs conceded xG 1.03), totaling approximately 2.70 expected goals. A Poisson model with this mean suggests roughly a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals, about 51% for Over 2.5 goals and around 29% for Over 3.5 goals. Shot statistics confirm an offensive setup: Criciúma averages 15.5 shots with 16% conversion (≈2.48 goals from those shots), Botafogo averages 13.0 shots with 15% conversion (≈1.95 goals), and Botafogo has 100% BTTS this season (Criciúma 50%). In the last 5 matches the teams averaged 1.0 (Criciúma) and 1.8 (Botafogo) goals respectively, which further supports a minimum two-goal scenario. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈75% probability), while Over 2.5 is only slightly favored (≈51%), and Over 3.5 remains unlikely (≈29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The weakest resistance and the strongest signal point to a lead at the break and a full-time win for Botafogo SP: the visitors average 3.0 points per match this season and have a 100% win rate, while Criciúma average 1.5 points per match with a 50% win rate. In their last five matches Botafogo led at half-time in 60% of games and scored an average of 1.2 goals before the break, whereas Criciúma managed only 0.4 goals at half-time across those five games. Although xG favors the home side 1.66 to 1.41, Botafogo have the superior results profile and their matches have finished with goals for both teams in 100% of cases, indicating the visitors’ capacity to score and decide the outcome. The season-long half-time lead rate for the hosts is 100% but is based on only two instances, so I place greater weight on the form over the last five matches. Therefore I tip HT/FT 2/2 with a 35% probability; alternatives are X/2 (20%) and 1/2 (10%), with the remaining outcomes receiving smaller shares of the distribution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Criciúma | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Botafogo SP is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - Criciúma · 2 pts / game - Botafogo SP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo SP is 248% better for: goals scored per game.
0.67 goals / game - Criciúma · 2.33 goals / game - Botafogo SP
Criciúma is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Criciúma · 1 goals / game - Botafogo SP
Criciúma scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Botafogo SP scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Criciúma keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Criciúma
Over / Under - Botafogo SP
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo SP is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Criciúma · 2.33 pts / game - Botafogo SP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Criciúma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Criciúma
Botafogo SP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Criciúma | Liga | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.33 | 2.17 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Botafogo SPSubstitutionOn: Marco Antônio de Freitas BatistussiOff: Pedro Henrique Souza do Nascimento
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Criciúma's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Botafogo SP. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Criciúma vs Botafogo SP?
The Serie B match finished Criciúma 1:0 Botafogo SP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Criciúma and Botafogo SP?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2, Botafogo SP won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Criciúma vs Botafogo SP?
Criciúma score 0.67 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 2.33. The Serie B average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Criciúma's matches and 67% of Botafogo SP's.
What form are Criciúma and Botafogo SP in?
Over the last 5 games Criciúma have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Botafogo SP 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Criciúma vs Botafogo SP?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.