Criciúma vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Criciúma vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Criciúma played against Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on July 18, 2026. Venue: Estádio Heriberto Hülse. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Criciúma has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Vila Nova has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Criciúma scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 0.71. Vila Nova scores 1.47 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Criciúma's games and 59% of Vila Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 47%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Criciúma has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.43 per game. Criciúma takes 13.9 shots per game, while Vila Nova takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Criciúma leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Vila Nova leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Criciúma's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Vila Nova, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Criciúma is the clear favorite: at home they rank 1st and have a 63% win rate in home matches with 0% home losses, while Vila Nova has a 33% win rate and 44% loss rate on the road. In the last 5 fixtures the home side won 4 of 5 and average 2.6 points per game, whereas Vila has 2 wins in their last 5 and only 1.2 points on average. Criciúma’s attack produces 1.74 xG at home versus 1.28 xG for Vila Nova away, and the hosts register 4.63 shots on target per game compared to 3.0 for the visitors, translating to higher-quality chances. The hosts’ defense is noticeably stronger—Criciúma concedes 0.5 goals per game and has 50% clean sheets, while Vila Nova concedes 1.11 goals away and has 33% of matches without scoring. Considering superior xG and shooting efficiency along with a more stable defense, I project a Criciúma victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 70% vs 30% for No. Criciúma averages 2.0 goals per match and has a season BTTS of 75%, while Vila Nova averages 1.0 and has a season BTTS of 44%, which strongly favors both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Vila Nova had BTTS 60%, scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 on average, whereas Criciúma in their last 5 games scored 1.2 and conceded 0.4, indicating the visitors have recently been more prone to conceding but also capable of scoring. Additionally xG shows 1.59 for the home side vs 1.28 for the visitors, the hosts register 4.88 shots on target vs 3.0 for the visitors, and Vila Nova have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches — this reinforces the scenario that both sides will find the net. Low clean sheet percentages: 25% for the hosts and 22% for the visitors, plus a league BTTS level of 47%, further support a Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Criciúma scores an average of 2.0 goals per home match, while Vila Nova averages 1.0 goals away; home xG is 1.59 versus the away defense xG of 1.34, translating to expected ~1.46 goals for Criciúma and 1.23 for Vila Nova, total 2.69 goals. A Poisson model with a total expectancy of 2.69 implies an over 1.5 probability of ~75% (since the 0–1 goals probability is ~25%), over 2.5 of ~50% and over 3.5 of ~28%. Seasonal indicators corroborate the scoring pace: Criciúma has 88% of home matches over 1.5 goals and 63% over 2.5, while Vila Nova records 44% and 33% respectively, which strengthens the over signal, especially at the 1.5 line. The home attack is more productive (14.88 shots and 4.88 shots on target per match vs. 12.11 and 3.0 for the visitors) and has a higher shot conversion rate 13% versus 8%, which also increases goal likelihood. Therefore the strongest and safest recommendation is Over 1.5, while Over 2.5 remains borderline 50/50 and Over 3.5 is less likely (around 28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I rate 1/1 as the most likely scenario and assign it a 43% probability. Criciúma led at the break in 4 of their appearances so far (50%) and in their last 5 matches they were leading HT in 5 of 5 (100%), averaging 1.13 goals by half-time and conceding 0.5, while Vila Nova has only 1 HT lead (11%) and averages 0.33 goals at HT. Over the full match the hosts average 2.0 goals and have an xG of 1.59 versus the visitors’ 1.0 and xG 1.28, and they register more shots on target 4.88 vs 3.0, which translates into Criciúma winning 75% of matches this season. On this basis I strongly favor scenarios in which the hosts lead at the break and win (1/1 43%), allow 20% for a turnaround to a draw after the break (X/1), and 13% for situations where the visitors lead HT but Criciúma completes a turnaround (2/1); I consider a Vila Nova win very unlikely (1/2, X/2, 2/2 combined 0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Criciúma | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Criciúma is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Criciúma · 1.2 pts / game - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Criciúma · 1.47 goals / game - Vila Nova
Criciúma is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Criciúma · 1.12 goals / game - Vila Nova
Criciúma scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
Vila Nova scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Criciúma keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Criciúma
Over / Under - Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Criciúma is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / game - Criciúma · 1.29 pts / game - Vila Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Criciúma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Criciúma
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Criciúma | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.88 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Criciúma's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Vila Nova. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Criciúma vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Criciúma 2:0 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Criciúma and Vila Nova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1, Vila Nova won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Criciúma vs Vila Nova?
Criciúma score 1.18 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.47. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Criciúma's matches and 59% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Criciúma and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Criciúma have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Vila Nova 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Criciúma vs Vila Nova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Criciúma vs Vila Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.