Crotone vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Crotone play Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 15 December 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Crotone: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Crotone scores 1.55 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Crotone 45%, Virtus Casarano 58%. Over 2.5: Crotone 47%, Virtus Casarano 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Crotone has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.21. Crotone: 11.7 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.4.

Match halves

Crotone: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.79. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Crotone: 46-60 (15 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
8Shots6
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
5Shots on target1
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.29xG0.86
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
4Corners2
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
60Dangerous attacks55
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
13Fouls14
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0Cards3
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.55Goals scored / match1.47
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.05Goals conceded / match1.5
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
55%Average possession50%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
4.21Shots on target / match3.79
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.68Shots per match9.45
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
4.21Shots on target3.79
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
13.3%Shot conversion15.6%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
55%Possession50%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.48xG for1.21
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.23xG against1.53
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Crotone: Efficient finishingVirtus Casarano: Efficient finishing
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)36%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Virtus Casarano is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Crotone · 2.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone
WLWWL
Season result split
47% W18% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-13
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-1-7
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Virtus Casarano
WWWLW
Season result split
42% W21% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-14
1.47 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-10
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Crotone is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.55 goals / match - Crotone · 1.47 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Crotone · 1.5 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone scoring profile: very strong

Crotone scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: very strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

59Goals scored (season)56
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
40Goals conceded (season)57
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
2.61Average goals in match2.97
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
9Goals scored (last 5)11
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal82%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
53%2 goals45%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
24%3 goals18%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
5%4 goals3%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal74%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
26%2 goals42%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
8%3 goals21%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
3%4 goals8%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time18%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
5%BTTS in both halves8%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
34%Scored in both halves24%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
60%BTTS - last 560%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Crotone is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Crotone · 1.39 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Crotone - half-time state
39% leading45% draw16% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
32% leading45% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.39
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.58
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.13
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
68%Clean sheet before half-time61%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
50%No goal before half-time53%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.32
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
0.66Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.84
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
50%Clean sheet after half-time39%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano
42%No goal after half-time42%
CrotoneVirtus Casarano

Crotone - second-half results

47% W16% R37% P
62
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

34% W29% R37% P
53
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Crotone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match0.82.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Virtus Casarano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Crotone
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
12
3
16-30
13
4
31-45
15
8
46-60
6
8
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
8
4
31-45
8
10
46-60
12
9
61-75
14
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Crotone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CrotoneLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals in match 2.612.49 2.97
Both teams scored 45%51% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%46% 63%
Clean sheets 34%28% 26%
Goal before half-time 61%67% 68%
Goal after half-time 89%79% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Crotone 1 - 0 - 0 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Crotone vs Virtus Casarano?

The Serie C Group C match finished Crotone 2:0 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Crotone vs Virtus Casarano?

Crotone score 1.55 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.47. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Crotone's matches and 58% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Crotone and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Crotone have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crotone vs Virtus Casarano?

The statistical background for Crotone vs Virtus Casarano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.