Cruz Azul vs Toluca: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cruz Azul plays Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte.
Recent form
Cruz Azul has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Toluca has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Cruz Azul scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 1.67. Toluca scores 2.22 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Cruz Azul's games and 56% of Toluca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cruz Azul has the higher season xG average, 2.13 to 1.87 per game. Cruz Azul takes 19.4 shots per game, while Toluca takes 17.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Cruz Azul leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Toluca leads at halftime in 67% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cruz Azul's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Toluca, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cruz Azul | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Cruz Azul · 2.4 pts / game - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.78 goals / game - Cruz Azul · 2.22 goals / game - Toluca
Toluca is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Cruz Azul · 1 goals / game - Toluca
Cruz Azul scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
Toluca scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruz Azul
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Cruz Azul · 2.33 pts / game - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cruz Azul
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Cruz Azul | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.44 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 25% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Cruz Azul's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Toluca. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Cruz Azul and Toluca play?
Cruz Azul face Toluca on September 26, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Banorte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruz Azul and Toluca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul won 1, Toluca won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul score 1.78 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.22. The Liga MX average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cruz Azul's matches and 56% of Toluca's.
What form are Cruz Azul and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Cruz Azul have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Toluca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
The statistical background for Cruz Azul vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.