CSKA Sofia vs Arda: match statistics
CSKA Sofia vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CSKA Sofia played against Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
CSKA Sofia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Arda has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
CSKA Sofia scores 2.43 goals per game and allows 0.71. Arda scores 1.63 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of CSKA Sofia's games and 50% of Arda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 38%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CSKA Sofia has the higher season xG average, 2.21 to 1.48 per game. CSKA Sofia takes 14.9 shots per game, while Arda takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
CSKA Sofia leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Arda leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
CSKA Sofia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Arda, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia have been perfect at home, winning all 4 matches so far and scoring an average of 3.25 goals per game. The hosts create significantly more in the final third: their average xG stands at 2.17 compared with Arda’s 1.28, while they average 8.0 shots on target per match versus 4.25 for the visitors. Arda arrive in good form, however, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and just 4 goals conceded during that period, so they will not be easy opponents. The visitors’ away defense has been solid, conceding an average of 0.75 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of matches, but CSKA have a significantly greater possession advantage, 63% to 57%, as well as superior shot conversion, 24% to 13%. CSKA’s recent overall results have been less consistent, but the strength of their home attack points towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 50% of their matches this season, but over their last five games, this figure has dropped to 40% for each side, below the league average of 56%. CSKA Sofia and Arda have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, which significantly increases the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. Arda concede only 0.75 goals per match on average and have allowed opponents just 0.8 goals per game over their last five fixtures, with an xG against of 1.20. CSKA are an attacking threat, averaging 2.0 goals and 1.69 xG, but their opponents also boast a solid defense. Therefore, BTTS - No is more likely than Goal/Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CSKA Sofia score an average of 2.00 goals at home, while Arda concede just 0.75 goals away, suggesting a home advantage but not necessarily a very high-scoring game. Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 75% of their matches this season, and neither has finished a game without scoring. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.69 goals, while the visitors average 1.28, with a combined projected total of 2.70 goals. In their last five matches, CSKA generated as much as 2.05 xG, while Arda scored 10 goals, giving the scenario of at least two goals solid foundations. At the same time, Arda have had Under 3.5 goals in 100% of their matches this season, which is why the safer Over 1.5 option is rated more highly than aggressive goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point, as both CSKA Sofia and Arda have been level at the break in 50% of their matches so far, while conceding an average of just 0.50 and 0.25 goals respectively during that period. After the interval, the advantage should shift towards the hosts: CSKA average 1.50 goals in second halves, compared with Arda’s 0.50. CSKA also possess greater offensive potential across the match as a whole, averaging 2.00 goals, an xG of 1.69 and 6.50 shots on target per game, compared with Arda’s 1.25 goals, 1.28 xG and 4.25 shots on target. The hosts have won 75% of their matches this season and collect 2.25 points per game, although Arda’s strong current run must also be taken into account, having won 4 of their last 5 outings. The strongest scenario is therefore a balanced, cautious first half, followed by a CSKA Sofia victory driven by greater efficiency after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CSKA Sofia is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - CSKA Sofia · 2.4 pts / game - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
2.43 goals / game - CSKA Sofia · 1.63 goals / game - Arda
CSKA Sofia is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - CSKA Sofia · 0.88 goals / game - Arda
CSKA Sofia scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).
Arda scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 meczów), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / game - CSKA Sofia · 1.63 pts / game - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CSKA Sofia
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.14 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CSKA Sofia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Arda. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 4:1 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Arda?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1, Arda won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
CSKA Sofia score 2.43 goals per game on average and Arda 1.63. The First League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 50% of Arda's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Arda 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The statistical background for CSKA Sofia vs Arda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.