CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: match statistics
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSKA Sofia play Ludogorets in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
CSKA Sofia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ludogorets: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSKA Sofia scores 1.31 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Ludogorets scores 1.65 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSKA Sofia 39%, Ludogorets 38%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 31%, Ludogorets 43%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.93. CSKA Sofia: 15.4 shots per match, Ludogorets: 15.8.
Match halves
CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.75. Ludogorets: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (14 goals). Ludogorets: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): CSKA Sofia is in better form over the last 5 matches – 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss with an average of 1.6 points per game, while Ludogorets has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses with just 0.4 points per game. Season-long figures show Ludogorets with superior goal output and position (58 goals scored and 2nd place vs 44 goals and 4th for CSKA), but the visitors have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches. CSKA at home generate higher xG (2.11) and more shots (17.06), translating to 1.69 goals per game, while Ludogorets away have 1.89 xG, 14.47 shots and 1.93 goals per game; the visitors are however more efficient (conversion 13% vs 10%). Defensively both teams are similar (CSKA concede 0.75 goals at home, Ludogorets 0.73 away) and both have conceded 5 goals in the last 5 matches, although the visitors have 60% clean sheets on the road versus 38% for the hosts, so I expect a tight contest decided by margins.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.6 pts / match - Ludogorets
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.65 goals / match - Ludogorets
Ludogorets is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 0.68 goals / match - Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 54% (20 of 37 matches).
Ludogorets scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CSKA Sofia
Over / Under — Ludogorets
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.35 pts / match - Ludogorets
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.30 | • 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 43% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 35% | ▲ 54% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 - 2 Ludogorets. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 1:0 Ludogorets. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 0, Ludogorets won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
CSKA Sofia score 1.31 goals per game on average and Ludogorets 1.65. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 38% of Ludogorets's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ludogorets 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.