Brazil - Serie BData current as of 05 August 2026

Cuiabá vs Fortaleza: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cuiabá vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cuiabá play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 9 August 2026.

Current form

Cuiabá: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cuiabá scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.15 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cuiabá 30%, Fortaleza 35%. Over 2.5: Cuiabá 15%, Fortaleza 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.40. Cuiabá: 12.7 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.4.

Match halves

Cuiabá: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45. Fortaleza: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Cuiabá: 61-75 (5 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(2.92)
(3.06)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.75Goals scored / match1.15
CuiabáFortaleza
0.75Goals conceded / match0.95
CuiabáFortaleza
48%Average possession49%
CuiabáFortaleza
4.35Shots on target / match4.3
CuiabáFortaleza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.65Shots per match14.45
CuiabáFortaleza
4.35Shots on target4.3
CuiabáFortaleza
5.9%Shot conversion8%
CuiabáFortaleza
48%Possession49%
CuiabáFortaleza
1.4xG for1.53
CuiabáFortaleza
1.09xG against1.42
CuiabáFortaleza

Shooting quality

Cuiabá: BalancedFortaleza: Attacking
CuiabáFortaleza
Accuracy (shots on target)34%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Cuiabá · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza

Cuiabá
WDLLD
Season result split
25% W50% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-10-5
1.25 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Fortaleza
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W20% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-6
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortaleza is 53% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - Cuiabá · 1.15 goals / match - Fortaleza

Cuiabá is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Cuiabá · 0.95 goals / match - Fortaleza

Cuiabá scoring profile: mixed

Cuiabá scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).

Fortaleza scoring profile: mixed

Fortaleza scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Cuiabá keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).

15Goals scored (season)23
CuiabáFortaleza
15Goals conceded (season)19
CuiabáFortaleza
1.5Average goals in match2.1
CuiabáFortaleza
4Goals scored (last 5)5
CuiabáFortaleza
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
CuiabáFortaleza

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal65%
CuiabáFortaleza
25%2 goals30%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%3 goals15%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%4 goals5%
CuiabáFortaleza

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal55%
CuiabáFortaleza
20%2 goals25%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%3 goals10%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%4 goals5%
CuiabáFortaleza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time5%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%BTTS in both halves5%
CuiabáFortaleza
5%Scored in both halves15%
CuiabáFortaleza

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
CuiabáFortaleza
40%BTTS - last 520%
CuiabáFortaleza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

35%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
CuiabáFortaleza
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
CuiabáFortaleza
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
CuiabáFortaleza

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
CuiabáFortaleza
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
CuiabáFortaleza
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
CuiabáFortaleza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Cuiabá · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza

Cuiabá - half-time state
10% leading75% draw15% trailing
Fortaleza - half-time state
35% leading35% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)1.4
CuiabáFortaleza
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.45
CuiabáFortaleza
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
CuiabáFortaleza
0.65Average goals (1st half)1
CuiabáFortaleza
75%Clean sheet before half-time65%
CuiabáFortaleza
80%No goal before half-time65%
CuiabáFortaleza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.45
CuiabáFortaleza
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
CuiabáFortaleza
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
CuiabáFortaleza
0.85Average goals (2nd half)1.1
CuiabáFortaleza
65%Clean sheet after half-time65%
CuiabáFortaleza
65%No goal after half-time55%
CuiabáFortaleza

Cuiabá - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
21
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding250%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fortaleza - second-half results

35% W40% R25% P
28
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cuiabá - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cuiabá
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
0
1
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
5
46-60
1
2
61-75
9
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cuiabá

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CuiabáLigaFortaleza
Average goals in match 1.502.31 2.10
Both teams scored 30%49% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 15%42% 45%
Clean sheets 45%31% 45%
Goal before half-time 35%66% 65%
Goal after half-time 60%75% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cuiabá 0 - 1 - 0 Fortaleza. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Cuiabá and Fortaleza play?

Cuiabá face Fortaleza on 9 August 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cuiabá vs Fortaleza?

Cuiabá score 0.75 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.15. The Serie B average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Cuiabá's matches and 35% of Fortaleza's.

What form are Cuiabá and Fortaleza in?

Over the last 5 games Cuiabá have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cuiabá vs Fortaleza?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cuiabá vs Fortaleza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.