Netherlands - Eerste DivisieStadion De VijverbergData current as of October 21, 2026

De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
vs
RKC Waalwijk crest
RKC Waalwijk
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick:--
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.--
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.--
Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

De Graafschap plays RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Stadion De Vijverberg.

Recent form

De Graafschap has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. RKC Waalwijk has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

De Graafschap scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 2.27. RKC Waalwijk scores 1.82 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 3.49 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 82% of De Graafschap's games and 73% of RKC Waalwijk's. The Over 2.5 rates are 82% and 45%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

RKC Waalwijk has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.53 per game. De Graafschap takes 14.3 shots per game, while RKC Waalwijk takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

De Graafschap leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. RKC Waalwijk leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.18 after halftime.

When the teams score

De Graafschap's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For RKC Waalwijk, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.49 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.34)
(3.75)
(2.55)
-Double chance 1X
-Double chance X2
-BTTS Yes oddsBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.36
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.27Goals scored / game1.82
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
2.27Goals allowed / game1.45
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.53xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.68
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
54%Average possession50%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
4.36Shots on target / game5.36
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
9%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.9%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
82%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.73%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.27Shots per game14.64
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
4.36Shots on target5.36
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
8.9%Shot conversion12.4%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
54%Possession50%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.53xG for1.68
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.9xG against1.38
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: AttackingRKC Waalwijk: Attacking
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
Accuracy (shots on target)31%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

De Graafschap is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - De Graafschap · 1 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk

De Graafschap
LWDWL
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
RKC Waalwijk
WLDLD
Season result split
27% W55% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-2
1.36 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

RKC Waalwijk is 43% better for: goals scored per game.

1.27 goals / game - De Graafschap · 1.82 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk

RKC Waalwijk is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.27 goals / game - De Graafschap · 1.45 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

RKC Waalwijk scoring profile: very strong

RKC Waalwijk scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 games), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

14Goals scored (season)20
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
25Goals conceded (season)16
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
3.55Average goals per game3.27
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
7Goals scored (last 5)8
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
De Graafschap
9%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 11 games
9%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.1 of 11 games
RKC Waalwijk
9%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 11 games
18%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.2 of 11 games

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal82%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
36%2 goals45%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
0%3 goals18%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
0%4 goals18%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal91%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
64%2 goals45%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
27%3 goals9%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
27%4 goals0%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

82%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 11 games
73%
RKC Waalwijk - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 11 games
67%
League average

Goal patterns

64%BTTS at half-time9%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
9%BTTS in both halves0%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
18%Scored in both halves18%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

BTTS and goal count

73%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
80%BTTS - last 560%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.100%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
91%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.100%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
82%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.45%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
36%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.36%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
27%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.18%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 91%Under 9%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 82%Under 18%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 36%Under 64%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%

Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 45%Under 55%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 36%Under 64%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 18%Under 82%

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
73%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

RKC Waalwijk is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / game - De Graafschap · 1.27 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk

De Graafschap - half-time state
9% leading45% draw45% trailing
RKC Waalwijk - half-time state
36% leading18% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per game (1st half)1.27
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.64
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.18Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.91Average goals (1st half)1.18
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
9%Clean sheet before half-time45%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
27%No goal before half-time64%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per game (2nd half)1.91
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1.18
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.09Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
1.64Average goals (2nd half)2.09
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
55%Clean sheet after half-time36%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk
64%No goal after half-time36%
De GraafschapRKC Waalwijk

De Graafschap - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
8
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

RKC Waalwijk - second-half results

64% W0% D36% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

De Graafschap - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
RKC Waalwijk - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

RKC Waalwijk
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
6
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.40
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

RKC Waalwijk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaRKC Waalwijk
Average goals per game• 3.553.49▼ 3.27
Both teams scored▲ 82%67%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 82%66%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 9%17%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%82%• 82%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%84%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.49
Average goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / game
1.53
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from De Graafschap's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against RKC Waalwijk. Games average 5.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

BV De Graafschap
2 : 4
RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk
1 : 4
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

When do De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk play?

De Graafschap face RKC Waalwijk on October 23, 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Stadion De Vijverberg. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 1, RKC Waalwijk won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?

De Graafschap score 1.27 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 1.82. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 82% of De Graafschap's matches and 73% of RKC Waalwijk's.

What form are De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.