Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana: match statistics

Dekani sit 5th, while ND Slovan Ljubljana are only 11th, giving the hosts a clear advantage in terms of league position. In their last five matches, Dekani have scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 per game, compared with the visitors’ 8, highlighting the hosts’ greater attacking potential. Dekani’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, while Slovan have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; the hosts have also averaged 1.6 points per game, compared with 1.4 for their opponents. Dekani’s defense has not been flawless, however, conceding 9 goals during the same period—one more than Slovan—so the visitors should be able to create chances. The attacking advantage, more stable recent record and higher league position all point towards a Dekani win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: BTTS - Yes occurred in 80% of Dekani’s last five matches and 60% of ND Slovan Ljubljana’s fixtures. During this period, Dekani averaged 2.4 goals scored but conceded 1.8, while the visitors scored and conceded 1.6 goals per match. The attacking potential is further confirmed by xG figures of 1.39 for the hosts and 1.28 for the visitors, alongside elevated opponents’ xG ratings of 1.24 and 1.43. The combined five-match records—12:9 for Dekani and 8:8 for Slovan—indicate teams that regularly feature in open games. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that both sides will score at least one goal.

Data from the last five matches points to an open game profile: Dekani averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while ND Slovan Ljubljana scored and conceded 1.6 goals per match. During this period, the home side recorded 12 goals scored and 9 conceded, while the visitors registered 8 and 8 respectively, giving an average total of 7.4 goals across their five-match samples. The quality of chances created remains more moderate, but still supports at least two goals: Dekani’s xG stands at 1.39, while Slovan’s opponents recorded an xG of 1.28. Both teams have regularly been involved in games with goals at both ends, doing so in 80% and 60% of their respective last five matches. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected 2.71 goals and the current attacking output of both teams clearly support surpassing this low line.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Dekani win, as the hosts have scored an average of 1.2 goals after the break in their last five matches while conceding only 0.4. ND Slovan Ljubljana have averaged 1.0 goals scored after half-time but allowed opponents 0.8, while the hosts have won the second half in 60% of matches, compared with just 20% for the visitors. The first half looks more evenly balanced: Dekani led at the break in only 20% of their recent matches, whereas Slovan were level at half-time in 40% of games. The hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals before the break, but also scored 1.2, increasing the likelihood of a draw despite their weaker first-half record. Over the five-match period as a whole, Dekani scored 2.4 goals per game compared with Slovan’s 1.6, so after an even start, their greater attacking potential and significantly stronger second-half performance support a home win at full-time.