Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: match statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportivo Garcilaso played against Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The game was played on April 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Deportivo Garcilaso has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Melgar has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.45. Melgar scores 1.64 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Deportivo Garcilaso's games and 73% of Melgar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 73%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportivo Garcilaso has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.28 per game. Deportivo Garcilaso takes 12.8 shots per game, while Melgar takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportivo Garcilaso leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Melgar leads at halftime in 55% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportivo Garcilaso's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Melgar, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melgar has a superior record this season: 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses with 18 goals scored, while Deportivo Garcilaso has 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses with 11 goals. In the last 5 matches Melgar scored 7 goals and registered 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (averaging 1.6 points per match), whereas Garcilaso scored 6 goals with a 1-2-2 record and averages 1.0 point per match. At home Garcilaso averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, xG for 1.35 and xG against 1.14, 50% possession and on average 4.2 shots on target per match; Melgar away averages 1.6 goals but concedes 1.8 and has xG against 1.85, indicating greater defensive exposure for the visitors. The visitors are, however, more efficient in chance conversion (14% vs 12%) and have more goals this season (18 vs 11), which gives them an offensive edge. Considering Melgar’s better efficiency and form and the hosts’ moderate xG advantage at home, I predict an away win; I propose probability distribution: 30% home, 25% draw, 45% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Melgar has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets, and in the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of games. Deportivo Garcilaso has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and 50% clean sheets, but in the last five matches the home side averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded 1.8, increasing the likelihood of goal exchange. xG metrics confirm both sides as threats: the hosts have xG_for 1.34 and xG_against 1.28, while Melgar has xG_for 1.21 and xG_against 1.85, meaning both teams generate around 1.2–1.3 xG and are exposed to conceding. Additionally, the league averages 2.71 goals per match, the league-wide BTTS rate is 56%, and the over2.5 + BTTS combinations are 50% for the hosts and 80% for Melgar, which reinforces the Both Teams To Score scenario. Despite the hosts having 50% clean sheets, Melgar’s dominant stats (100% BTTS, 0% matches without a goal) and strong recent form (80% BTTS in the last 5) favor BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Deportivo Garcilaso averages 1.67 goals per match, Melgar 1.60; their xG are 1.34 (Deportivo) and 1.21 (Melgar), while opponents create 1.28 xG against Deportivo and 1.85 xG against Melgar, which averaged gives an expected 1.60 goals for the home side and 1.25 for the away side (total 2.85). This season Garcilaso’s matches exceeded 1.5 goals in 83% of cases, Melgar’s in 100% — an average of 92%, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. At the 2.5 threshold the home side has 67% Over, the away 80% (average 74%), and the projected total of 2.85 goals supports a high Over 2.5 percentage. The 3.5 line is less certain: season rates 33% for Garcilaso and 60% for Melgar (average 46%), but since the expected xG total is 2.85, I assess the realistic probability of Over 3.5 at around 38%. Additionally, Melgar have 100% of matches with both teams scoring, Garcilaso 50% (average 75%), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals and further supports selecting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Deportivo Garcilaso led at half-time in 4 of 6 matches this season (67%) and scores an average of 1.17 goals by the break, while Melgar concedes an average of 0.4 goals by half-time; this is a strong indicator of a home lead at the break. The hosts win 50% of their matches this season, and Melgar concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game versus 1.0 conceded by Garcilaso, which favors a home full-time victory. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.34 compared to the visitors’ 1.21, and the home side attempts more shots (13.0 vs 11.4) with a marginally higher number of shots on target (3.83 vs 3.8), indicating higher-quality chances. For these reasons, the most likely scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and home win).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Melgar is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.6 pts / game - Melgar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.64 goals / game - Melgar
Melgar is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.45 goals / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.36 goals / game - Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).
Melgar scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Garcilaso
Over / Under - Melgar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.91 pts / game - Melgar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 45%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportivo Garcilaso
Melgar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Liga | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.45 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 54% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 65% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Melgar. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0 Melgar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Melgar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 1, Melgar won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.00 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.64. The Primera División average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Deportivo Garcilaso's matches and 73% of Melgar's.
What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Melgar in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Garcilaso have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Melgar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.