Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios: match statistics
Deportivo Pasto is displaying impressive home form with a 100% win rate and not a single goal conceded in two matches. The hosts have won four of their last five matches overall, scoring 10 goals, which indicates very good offensive disposition. Millonarios, on the other hand, is suffering from terrible away form – they have lost both away matches this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match and failing to earn a single point. The visitors' last five matches have yielded only 1 point per match, with defeats in the last two games. The xG advantage for the hosts (0.73 vs 0.86) is slight, but the difference in xG Against is crucial – Pasto defends much better at home (1.49) than Millonarios does away (1.96), suggesting greater defensive stability for the hosts.
Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Pasto play Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 29 January 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Millonarios: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Millonarios scores 1.63 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Pasto 52%, Millonarios 63%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Pasto 52%, Millonarios 63%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Millonarios has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.30. Deportivo Pasto: 12.0 shots per match, Millonarios: 15.7.
Match halves
Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76. Millonarios: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). Millonarios: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Deportivo Pasto is displaying impressive home form with a 100% win rate and not a single goal conceded in two matches. The hosts have won four of their last five matches overall, scoring 10 goals, which indicates very good offensive disposition. Millonarios, on the other hand, is suffering from terrible away form – they have lost both away matches this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match and failing to earn a single point. The visitors' last five matches have yielded only 1 point per match, with defeats in the last two games. The xG advantage for the hosts (0.73 vs 0.86) is slight, but the difference in xG Against is crucial – Pasto defends much better at home (1.49) than Millonarios does away (1.96), suggesting greater defensive stability for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Pasto | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millonarios is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto · 1 pts / match - Millonarios
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millonarios is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto · 1.63 goals / match - Millonarios
Millonarios is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto · 1.21 goals / match - Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Millonarios scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
Over / Under — Millonarios
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Pasto | Liga | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 - 2 Millonarios. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportivo Pasto 2:1 Millonarios. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pasto and Millonarios?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 0, Millonarios won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?
Deportivo Pasto score 1.38 goals per game on average and Millonarios 1.63. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Deportivo Pasto's matches and 63% of Millonarios's.
What form are Deportivo Pasto and Millonarios in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Pasto have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Millonarios 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.