Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio Ricardo GregorData current as of 23 July 2026

Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní: match statistics

Deportivo Recoleta crest
Deportivo Recoleta
2 : 1half-time 2:1
Guaraní crest
Guaraní

Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Deportivo Recoleta play Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 23:15. Venue: Estadio Ricardo Gregor. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Deportivo Recoleta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Guaraní: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Guaraní scores 1.23 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Deportivo Recoleta 68%, Guaraní 45%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Recoleta 64%, Guaraní 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Guaraní has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.19. Deportivo Recoleta: 10.9 shots per match, Guaraní: 11.0.

Match halves

Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91. Guaraní: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Deportivo Recoleta: 46-60 (10 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 1-0-4. Average goals 3.80, BTTS 80%.

Match description

Deportivo Recoleta is the favorite in this fixture: at home they win 50% of matches, have a positive goal difference of +8, score 1.9 goals per game on average with xG 1.27 and register 4.4 shots on target per game. Guaraní win only 10% of away matches, average 1.1 goals per game with xG 1.07 and fail to score in 40% of away trips, which significantly limits their offensive potential. The gap in efficiency is confirmed by the higher home conversion rate 16% versus 12% for the visitors and a larger volume of attempts 12 vs 9.2 per game, with possession 54% vs 47%. In the last 5 matches Guaraní have 1.6 points per game compared to Recoleta’s 1.0 and have conceded only 4 goals versus 10 conceded by the hosts, which gives them a defensive argument. Considering Recoleta’s advantage in chance creation and finishing at home and the visitors’ high FTS (40%), I assess the probability of a home win at 60%, a draw 25% and an away win 15%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
17Shots16
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
11Shots on target5
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
2.12xG1.84
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1Corners8
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
38Dangerous attacks67
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
24Fouls12
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
3Cards2
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1.59Goals scored / match1.23
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1.45Goals conceded / match1.05
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
51%Average possession47%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
4.05Shots on target / match3.64
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.95Shots per match11
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
4.05Shots on target3.64
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
14.5%Shot conversion11.2%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
51%Possession47%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1.19xG for1.24
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1.52xG against1.34
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

Shooting quality

Deportivo Recoleta: Efficient finishingGuaraní: Balanced
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportivo Recoleta is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1 pts / match - Guaraní

Deportivo Recoleta
LWLLW
Season result split
36% W18% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-10
1.27 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Guaraní
DLDWL
Season result split
32% W36% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-7
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Recoleta is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.59 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.23 goals / match - Guaraní

Guaraní is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.05 goals / match - Guaraní

Deportivo Recoleta scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Recoleta scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).

Guaraní scoring profile: very strong

Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).

35Goals scored (season)27
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
32Goals conceded (season)23
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
3.05Average goals in match2.27
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
9Goals scored (last 5)4
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal64%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
45%2 goals36%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
14%3 goals18%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
9%4 goals5%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
45%2 goals32%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
18%3 goals9%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
0%4 goals0%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

68%
Deportivo Recoleta - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 22 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time18%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
14%BTTS in both halves0%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
23%Scored in both halves23%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
100%BTTS - last 540%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Recoleta - half-time state
32% leading45% draw23% trailing
Guaraní - half-time state
32% leading45% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)1.41
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1.27Average goals (1st half)1
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
50%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
45%No goal before half-time55%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.27
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
36%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní
45%No goal after half-time59%
Deportivo RecoletaGuaraní

Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results

27% W45% R27% P
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Guaraní - second-half results

23% W45% R32% P
31
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportivo Recoleta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Guaraní - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Deportivo Recoleta
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
6
4
31-45
10
8
46-60
6
3
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Guaraní
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
1
2
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Deportivo Recoleta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Guaraní

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Deportivo RecoletaLigaGuaraní
Average goals in match 3.052.44 2.27
Both teams scored 68%51% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%43% 41%
Clean sheets 18%29% 36%
Goal before half-time 68%63% 59%
Goal after half-time 82%78% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 0 - 4 Guaraní. Average goals 3.80, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Guaraní
3 : 1
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guaraní
2 : 1
CD Recoleta
CD Recoleta
2 : 3
Club Guaraní
CD Recoleta
0 : 3
Club Guaraní
Club Guaraní
1 : 3
CD Recoleta

FAQ

What was the result of Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní?

The Division Profesional match finished Deportivo Recoleta 2:1 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Recoleta and Guaraní?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Recoleta won 1, Guaraní won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní?

Deportivo Recoleta score 1.59 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.23. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Deportivo Recoleta's matches and 45% of Guaraní's.

What form are Deportivo Recoleta and Guaraní in?

Over the last 5 games Deportivo Recoleta have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Guaraní 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.