Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad: match statistics
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportivo Recoleta played against Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on October 5, 2026. Venue: Estadio Ricardo Gregor. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Deportivo Recoleta has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Libertad has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.65. Libertad scores 1.56 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Deportivo Recoleta's games and 47% of Libertad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 47%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.29 per game. Deportivo Recoleta takes 11.7 shots per game, while Libertad takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportivo Recoleta leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. Libertad leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportivo Recoleta's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Libertad, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad hold a slight edge thanks to more consistent results: they have won 16 of 34 matches this season, compared with Deportivo Recoleta’s 10, and scored 8 goals in their last five games, versus 4 for the hosts. The visitors are also stronger defensively, conceding 39 goals this season compared with their opponents’ 56. Away from home, they concede an average of 1.29 goals, while Deportivo concede 1.47 at home. Chance quality also gives Libertad a slight advantage: their away xG is 1.51, while the hosts allow chances worth an average of 1.59 xG at home. However, backing the visitors remains a cautious pick, as Deportivo win 41% of their home matches and score an average of 1.71 goals in them, while Libertad have lost 53% of their away games.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario in which at least one team fails to score is slightly more likely: matches involving Deportivo Recoleta saw both teams score in 53% of cases, compared with just 41% for Libertad, against a league average of 52%. The main concern is the visitors’ attacking output, as they failed to score in 35% of their matches, while the home side kept a clean sheet in 35%. On the other hand, Deportivo averaged 1.82 goals per game and Libertad conceded 1.29, so a home goal looks plausible. However, Deportivo scored only 4 goals across its last five matches, despite averaging 1.36 xG, which reduces confidence in that expectation. Both teams scored in 60% of Libertad’s last five outings, so the edge for BTTS - No remains slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 65% of Deportivo Recoleta matches and 88% of Libertad’s games. Although the hosts average 1.82 goals scored, they have managed just 0.8 per match across their last five games, while Libertad conceded an average of 1.0 over the same period. Libertad, meanwhile, have scored 1.6 goals per match recently, but Deportivo’s season average for goals conceded stands at 1.0, limiting expectations for the visitors’ goal tally. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 47% of their matches, while the league average is 2.44 goals per game. With projected totals of 1.35 goals for the hosts and 1.12 for the visitors, Under 3.5 goals offers a clearer edge than the other available options.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Deportivo Recoleta were level at the break in 59% of their matches, compared with 47% for Libertad. The hosts have failed to score in the first half in each of their last five matches, further weakening the case for an early lead. Over the season, however, Deportivo win more often than Libertad (59% versus 35%) and average 1.82 goals per match compared with their opponents’ 1.29. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.12 goals, while the visitors concede 0.65, making a Deportivo win after a level first half the single most likely outcome. The pick remains uncertain, as Libertad have averaged 1.6 points per match in their last five games, compared with 0.8 for Deportivo.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Recoleta | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Libertad is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.4 pts / game - Libertad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.41 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.56 goals / game - Libertad
Libertad is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.65 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.15 goals / game - Libertad
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 82% of games (28 of 34 games), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 games).
Libertad scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 games), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Recoleta
Over / Under - Libertad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.32 pts / game - Libertad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Recoleta | Liga | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.06 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses against Libertad. Games average 3.43 goals, and both teams scored in 86% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad?
The Division Profesional match finished Deportivo Recoleta 1:2 Libertad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Recoleta and Libertad?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Recoleta won 1, Libertad won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad?
Deportivo Recoleta score 1.41 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.56. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Deportivo Recoleta's matches and 47% of Libertad's.
What form are Deportivo Recoleta and Libertad in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Recoleta have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Libertad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad?
The statistical background for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


