Deportivo Táchira vs Portuguesa: match statistics

Deportivo Táchira are showing more consistent form: they are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws with a 7:3 goal difference. At home, the hosts win 60% of their matches, score an average of 1.50 goals and concede just 0.90, while Portuguesa win only 22% of their away games. Táchira also create significantly more chances, averaging 16.5 shots and 6.1 shots on target per match, compared with the visitors’ 11.56 shots and 4 shots on target; the xG advantage stands at 1.80 to 1.27. Portuguesa can be clinical, converting 12% of their attempts into goals compared with the opponents’ 9%, but their defence allows an average xG of 1.53 and concedes 1.33 goals away from home. The visitors draw as many as 44% of their away matches, so a draw remains a realistic scenario, but the hosts’ advantage in game control, chance quality and current form points to a home win.

Deportivo Táchira has a low seasonal rate of matches in which both teams score, at just 27%, compared with 54% across the league. The hosts concede an average of only 0.73 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 55% of their matches, which significantly limits Portuguesa’s chances of scoring. Portuguesa averages 1.33 goals, but its attack will face a very solid defense, while Táchira has conceded just 3 goals in its last 5 matches, or 0.6 per game. Táchira should have favorable conditions to score, averaging 1.45 goals, while Portuguesa concedes 1.33; however, the most likely scenario is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team—most likely the visitors—will fail to score. This does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Deportivo Táchira concede an average of just 0.73 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 55% of their matches, significantly limiting Portuguesa’s attacking potential. In their last five games, the hosts have conceded only 3 goals, or 0.6 per match, while Portuguesa have averaged 1.2 goals scored during the same period. Over the course of the season, Táchira’s matches have gone Over 3.5 goals in only 9% of cases, compared with 33% for Portuguesa, which still supports a low goal line. The projected total of 2.30 goals, along with an expected 1.35 goals for the hosts versus 0.95 for the visitors, indicates that the 3.5 line should be surpassed only with above-average finishing.

Deportivo Táchira has a clearly superior overall match profile: they average 1.45 goals scored, concede just 0.73, and win 55% of their matches, while Portuguesa win 22% and allow opponents to score 1.33 goals per game. The first half could nevertheless be evenly balanced, as the hosts have been level at the break in 36% of their matches, rising to 60% across their last five; moreover, they conceded an average of 0.0 goals before half-time during that period. Portuguesa score an average of 0.89 goals before the break, but in their last five outings they were trailing at half-time in 40% of cases and conceded 0.8 goals during that period. After the interval, Táchira’s advantage increases: the hosts average 0.82 goals scored and 0.36 conceded, whereas Portuguesa score just 0.44 and concede 0.89 goals. The HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win best combines a cautious opening with Táchira’s much stronger second half, which they win in 45% of matches compared with just 11% for the visitors.