Derby County vs Swansea City: match statistics
Derby County are showing solid form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and only 1 defeat, scoring 10 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts have an advantage in shooting efficiency at home (11% shot conversion rate) and a better goal difference in home matches (-4) compared to Swansea's away record (-5). Swansea City, despite a similar recent form (2 points per game), have significantly worse away statistics - as much as 60% defeats and only 27% wins, while also not scoring regularly (33% FTS%). Swansea's possession advantage (53%) may not be sufficient given their poor efficiency in away matches (0.93 goals per game). Considering all statistics, Derby County as the host have a real chance of winning, although the balanced nature of both teams in the table suggests the possibility of a draw as well.
Derby County vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Swansea City in Championship (England). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Derby County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Swansea City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.26. Swansea City scores 1.23 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Derby County's games and 55% of Swansea City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Swansea City has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.17 per game. Derby County takes 10.0 shots per game, while Swansea City takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Swansea City leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Swansea City, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derby County are showing solid form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and only 1 defeat, scoring 10 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts have an advantage in shooting efficiency at home (11% shot conversion rate) and a better goal difference in home matches (-4) compared to Swansea's away record (-5). Swansea City, despite a similar recent form (2 points per game), have significantly worse away statistics - as much as 60% defeats and only 27% wins, while also not scoring regularly (33% FTS%). Swansea's possession advantage (53%) may not be sufficient given their poor efficiency in away matches (0.93 goals per game). Considering all statistics, Derby County as the host have a real chance of winning, although the balanced nature of both teams in the table suggests the possibility of a draw as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Derby County · 1.23 goals / game - Swansea City
Swansea City is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.26 goals / game - Derby County · 1.19 goals / game - Swansea City
Derby County scores in 94% of games (29 of 31 meczów), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 meczów).
Swansea City scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Derby County · 0.94 pts / game - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Swansea City. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Derby County 2:0 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Swansea City?
Derby County score 1.45 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.23. The Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Derby County's matches and 55% of Swansea City's.
What form are Derby County and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Swansea City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Swansea City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Derby County vs Swansea City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.