Derby County vs Swansea City: match statistics
Derby County are showing solid form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and only 1 defeat, scoring 10 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts have an advantage in shooting efficiency at home (11% shot conversion rate) and a better goal difference in home matches (-4) compared to Swansea's away record (-5). Swansea City, despite a similar recent form (2 points per game), have significantly worse away statistics - as much as 60% defeats and only 27% wins, while also not scoring regularly (33% FTS%). Swansea's possession advantage (53%) may not be sufficient given their poor efficiency in away matches (0.93 goals per game). Considering all statistics, Derby County as the host have a real chance of winning, although the balanced nature of both teams in the table suggests the possibility of a draw as well.
Derby County vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derby County play Swansea City in Championship (England). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Derby County: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Swansea City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derby County scores 1.46 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Swansea City scores 1.24 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derby County 65%, Swansea City 54%. Over 2.5: Derby County 52%, Swansea City 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Swansea City has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.25. Derby County: 11.0 shots per match, Swansea City: 12.3.
Match halves
Derby County: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.76. Swansea City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). Swansea City: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Derby County are showing solid form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and only 1 defeat, scoring 10 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts have an advantage in shooting efficiency at home (11% shot conversion rate) and a better goal difference in home matches (-4) compared to Swansea's away record (-5). Swansea City, despite a similar recent form (2 points per game), have significantly worse away statistics - as much as 60% defeats and only 27% wins, while also not scoring regularly (33% FTS%). Swansea's possession advantage (53%) may not be sufficient given their poor efficiency in away matches (0.93 goals per game). Considering all statistics, Derby County as the host have a real chance of winning, although the balanced nature of both teams in the table suggests the possibility of a draw as well.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swansea City is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Derby County · 2 pts / match - Swansea City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Derby County · 1.24 goals / match - Swansea City
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Swansea City scores in 78% of matches (36 of 46 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Derby County
Over / Under — Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Derby County · 1.09 pts / match - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derby County
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.59 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Derby County 1 - 0 - 0 Swansea City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Derby County 2:0 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Swansea City?
Derby County score 1.46 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.24. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Derby County's matches and 54% of Swansea City's.
What form are Derby County and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Swansea City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Swansea City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Derby County vs Swansea City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.