Dinamo Samarqand vs AGMK: match statistics
Dinamo Samarqand vs AGMK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dinamo Samarqand played against AGMK in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on April 23, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Dinamo Samarqand has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. AGMK has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 2.00. AGMK scores 1.25 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's games and 63% of AGMK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 88% and 50%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dinamo Samarqand has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.38 per game. Dinamo Samarqand takes 12.0 shots per game, while AGMK takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Dinamo Samarqand leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. AGMK leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dinamo Samarqand's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For AGMK, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win for AGMK. AGMK arrives in better form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.0 points per game, while Dinamo have 1 win and 4 losses and only 0.6 points per game. Dinamo create more chances at home — 11.5 shots and 5 on target with xG 1.46 — whereas AGMK away average 8.75 shots, 2 on target and xG 1.09, with similar shot efficiency (combined conversion rate 11%). The hosts’ main issue is defense: 12 goals conceded in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game), 16 goals conceded this season and 0% clean sheets at home, while AGMK have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 fixtures. Considering the clear points and form advantage for the visitors and Dinamo’s defensive vulnerability, I assign a higher probability to an AGMK victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes with an 80% probability: Dinamo Samarqand has a season BTTS rate of 75% and 100% in the last 5 matches, while AGMK has 50% for the season and 80% in the last 5, which signals both teams scoring. Dinamo averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded this season (11 for, 16 against), and conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg) with a season clean sheet expected rate of 0%, increasing the likelihood of conceding. AGMK averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.25 conceded this season, but scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 avg) and its last5 xG_for is 1.32 vs season 1.09, so they can reply with a goal. Dinamo generates 1.67 xG, averages 13.5 shots and 4.75 on target, while AGMK has 1.09 xG and 2.0 shots on target seasonally — the difference in chances still supports goals from both sides. Considering a league BTTS level of 50% and strong recent trends of 100% vs 80%, I assess No Goal at around a 20% probability, so the 'yes' selection is the strongest.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aggregate xG projections indicate 1.68 expected goals for Dinamo Samarqand (xG_for 1.67 vs xG_conceded by AGMK 1.68) and 1.19 for AGMK (xG_for 1.09 vs xG_conceded by hosts 1.28), yielding a total of approximately 2.87 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.87 calculates probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈78%, Over 2.5 ≈55% and Over 3.5 ≈32%. The hosts average 13.5 shots and 4.75 on target per match versus 8.75 and 2.0 for AGMK; with shot conversion around 11% this supports a higher goals tally for Dinamo. Trends confirm the direction — in the last 5 matches the hosts had 100% of games with over 2.5 goals, while BTTS in the last 5 is 100% for the hosts and 80% for the visitors; seasonally Over 2.5 is 50%/50% for both, but current form increases the probability of at least 3 goals. Based on this, I recommend the Over side on the 2.5 line as the strongest signal, grounded on the 2.87 expected goals and the hosts' clear offensive advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor AGMK: in the last 5 matches the visitors led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), hosts only in 1 of 5 (20%), and the average first-half goals in the last 5 are 2.0 for AGMK versus 1.6 for Dinamo. AGMK also shows better full-match form — 60% wins in the last 5 and an average of 2.0 points over the last 5, while Dinamo has 20% wins and 0.6 points; on the season the visitors accumulate 1.5 points per match vs 1.25 for the hosts. Dinamo, however, creates more chances (xG 1.67 vs 1.09, 13.5 shots vs 8.75 and 4.75 shots on target vs 2.0) and scores more after the break on average (0.75 goals vs 0.25 for AGMK), with the hosts having 100% of second halves featuring at least one goal. Despite Dinamo’s second-half activity, AGMK’s greater consistency in first halves and superior full-match results make the most probable scenario a lead for the visitors at the break and a visitors’ victory at full-time (2/2). The second-strongest signal is a visitors’ lead at the break and a draw at full-time (2/X) due to the hosts’ average of 0.75 goals after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Samarqand | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AGMK is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Dinamo Samarqand · 2 pts / game - AGMK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Dinamo Samarqand · 1.25 goals / game - AGMK
AGMK is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Dinamo Samarqand · 1.38 goals / game - AGMK
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 meczów), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
AGMK scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Samarqand
Over / Under - AGMK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGMK is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Dinamo Samarqand · 1.5 pts / game - AGMK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dinamo Samarqand
AGMK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Samarqand | Liga | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Dinamo Samarqand's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against AGMK. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Samarqand vs AGMK?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Dinamo Samarqand 2:2 AGMK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Samarqand and AGMK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dinamo Samarqand won 1, AGMK won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Samarqand vs AGMK?
Dinamo Samarqand score 1.38 goals per game on average and AGMK 1.25. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's matches and 63% of AGMK's.
What form are Dinamo Samarqand and AGMK in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Samarqand have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and AGMK 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Samarqand vs AGMK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.