Georgia - Erovnuli LigaBoris Paichadze Dinamo ArenaData current as of 17 July 2026

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali: match statistics

Dinamo Tbilisi crest
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3half-time 2:2
Samgurali crest
Samgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dinamo Tbilisi play Samgurali in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 18 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. Final score: 5:3.

Current form

Dinamo Tbilisi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Samgurali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dinamo Tbilisi scores 1.63 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Samgurali scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dinamo Tbilisi 63%, Samgurali 63%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Tbilisi 58%, Samgurali 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Dinamo Tbilisi has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.45. Dinamo Tbilisi: 15.2 shots per match, Samgurali: 11.2.

Match halves

Dinamo Tbilisi: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68. Samgurali: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Dinamo Tbilisi: 31-45+ (7 goals). Samgurali: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 2-2-1. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 80%.

Match description

I predict a home win (Dinamo Tbilisi). At home Dinamo creates more chances: on average 14.5 shots per match, 5 on target and 1.0 goal with xG 1.77, whereas Samgurali away averages 9.75 shots, 3.5 on target and 1.0 goal with xG 1.30. Defensively the difference is significant — hosts concede on average 1.0 goal at home, while Samgurali concedes 2.25 goals away, which translates into the visitors’ away goal differential of -10. Although Samgurali shows a better recent run (averaging 2.0 points per match in the last 5, record 3-1-1), they also have 63% losses away, whereas Dinamo has 1.4 points per match over the same period. Considering the edge in xG (1.77 vs 1.30), number of shots on target (5 vs 3.5) and the hosts’ lower goals-against average, I assess the chances as: Dinamo win 58%, draw 22%, Samgurali win 20%.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
18Shots14
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
9Shots on target4
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
2.16xG1.62
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
2Corners8
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
54Dangerous attacks62
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
8Fouls10
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1Cards2
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1.63Goals scored / match1.32
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1.11Goals conceded / match1.68
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
51%Average possession49%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
5.42Shots on target / match4.21
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.21Shots per match11.16
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
5.42Shots on target4.21
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
10.7%Shot conversion11.8%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
51%Possession49%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1.84xG for1.45
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1.29xG against1.42
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

Shooting quality

Dinamo Tbilisi: AttackingSamgurali: Balanced
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Samgurali is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Dinamo Tbilisi · 2 pts / match - Samgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi
LWLWW
Season result split
42% W37% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-4
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.19Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Samgurali
WWWLD
Season result split
37% W21% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-8
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dinamo Tbilisi is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Dinamo Tbilisi · 1.32 goals / match - Samgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Dinamo Tbilisi · 1.68 goals / match - Samgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi scoring profile: strong

Dinamo Tbilisi scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

Samgurali scoring profile: very strong

Samgurali scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Dinamo Tbilisi keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

31Goals scored (season)25
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
21Goals conceded (season)32
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
2.74Average goals in match3
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
14Goals scored (last 5)11
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal74%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
53%2 goals37%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
16%3 goals21%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
11%4 goals0%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal74%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
32%2 goals42%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
5%3 goals21%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
0%4 goals16%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time11%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
32%Scored in both halves21%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
80%BTTS - last 580%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dinamo Tbilisi is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - Dinamo Tbilisi · 0.95 pts / match - Samgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi - half-time state
26% leading53% draw21% trailing
Samgurali - half-time state
21% leading32% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)0.95
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
0.95Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.26
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
58%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
42%No goal before half-time68%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.74
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
58%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
58%No goal after half-time37%
Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali

Dinamo Tbilisi - second-half results

37% W37% R26% P
25
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Samgurali - second-half results

26% W47% R26% P
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dinamo Tbilisi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.40
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Samgurali - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dinamo Tbilisi
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
5
2
16-30
7
6
31-45
3
2
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Samgurali
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
1
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dinamo Tbilisi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Samgurali

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).

Teams vs league

Dinamo TbilisiLigaSamgurali
Average goals in match 2.742.53 3.00
Both teams scored 63%56% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%52% 58%
Clean sheets 26%28% 26%
Goal before half-time 68%65% 74%
Goal after half-time 68%72% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 2 - 1 Samgurali. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.

FC Samgurali Tskaltubo
1 : 2
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Samgurali Tskaltubo
2 : 1
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 1
FC Samgurali Tskaltubo
FC Samgurali Tskaltubo
0 : 0
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
FC Samgurali Tskaltubo

FAQ

What was the result of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

The Erovnuli Liga match finished Dinamo Tbilisi 5:3 Samgurali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Dinamo Tbilisi won 2, Samgurali won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.63 goals per game on average and Samgurali 1.32. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Dinamo Tbilisi's matches and 63% of Samgurali's.

What form are Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali in?

Over the last 5 games Dinamo Tbilisi have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Samgurali 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

The statistical background for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.