Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Zagreb play Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 18:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.58 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 53%, Varaždin 61%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 69%, Varaždin 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.37. Dinamo Zagreb: 16.6 shots per match, Varaždin: 11.5.
Match halves
Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.47. Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (23 goals). Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite: at home they score on average 3 goals per match with an average xG of 2.11, while Varaždin score 1.13 goals away with an xG of 1.29. The hosts create significantly more chances — on average 17.6 shots and 7.07 on target per match with a conversion of 17%, versus 10.73 shots, 3.67 on target and 11% conversion for the visitors away. Defensively Dinamo concedes only 0.93 goals at home (xG against 0.89), while Varaždin concede 1.33 away (xG against 1.76); the hosts have 33% clean sheets at home versus 20% clean sheets for the visitors on the road. In the last 5 matches Dinamo scored 21 goals and average 2.6 points, while Varaždin have 7 goals and 2.0 points in that period; additionally the hosts win 80% of home matches, and the visitors win 33% of away games. Considering the home goal difference (+31 vs -3), 0% FTS for Dinamo versus 27% FTS for the visitors, and the advantage in xG and shooting situations, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.4 pts / match - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
2.58 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.31 goals / match - Varaždin
Dinamo Zagreb is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.28 goals / match - Varaždin
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 44% (16 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under — Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.14 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.44 pts / match - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 2.66 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 - 0 Varaždin. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 2:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Varaždin?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 2, Varaždin won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.58 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.31. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 61% of Varaždin's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.