Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dire Dawa Kenema played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on April 15, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Dire Dawa Kenema has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mekelakeya has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.65 goals per game and allows 1.00. Mekelakeya scores 1.26 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 1.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Dire Dawa Kenema's games and 44% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 30%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.06 per game. Dire Dawa Kenema takes 6.9 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Dire Dawa Kenema leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dire Dawa Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.79 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (2). Mekelakeya sits 5th vs Dire Dawa Kenema 14th and has a superior goal return: 32 goals scored this season vs 17 for the hosts. Away, Mekelakeya averages 1.69 goals with 8.77 shots and 19% conversion, while Dire Dawa at home records 0.62 goals with 7.0 shots and 9% conversion. Dire Dawa fail to score in 62% of home matches, whereas Mekelakeya fail to score in only 15% of away games; away xG for the visitors is 1.30 vs 1.13 xG for the hosts at home, indicating higher quality chances created. Both teams concede on average 1.08 goals per match, but the visitors’ better form (1.8 pts per game in the last 5 vs 1.4 for the hosts) and an unbeaten run of five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) increase Mekelakeya’s chances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The statistical analysis points toward the 'no' outcome: the home team has a seasonal goals average of 0.77 with xG_for=1.31, underperforming xG by ~0.54 goals and exhibiting a low shot conversion rate of 9% versus the opponents' 19%. The away team averages 1.69 goals this season (xG_for=1.30), but over the last 5 matches they average 1.2 goals and only 0.4 conceded, indicating solid defensive form that limits the home side’s opportunities. Homes have kept a clean sheet in 46% of matches, guests in 38%; seasonal BTTS rates are 38% (home) and 54% (away) against a league mean of 42%, while the last 5 matches for both teams yield BTTS at 40%. A simple estimate based on recent goal averages (≈0.8 for home and 1.2 for away) suggests roughly a 38–46% probability for BTTS. Given the home team’s poor conversion and the high share of clean sheets, I assign higher probability to the 'no' scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Using the average attacking xG and the opponent’s conceded xG, we obtain expected goals of 1.18 for Dire Dawa (xG_attack 1.31 vs xG_conceded_Mekelakeya 1.05) and 1.11 for Mekelakeya (xG_attack 1.30 vs xG_conceded_Dire Dawa 0.92), totaling 2.29 expected goals. A Poisson model for a total of 2.29 yields roughly a 67% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), while Over 2.5 is around 40% and Over 3.5 about 20%. Mekelakeya have 85% of their season matches over 1.5 goals and a shot conversion rate of 19%, with an average of 1.69 goals scored, which increases the likelihood of goals from the away side; the hosts average 0.77 goals with a 9% conversion rate and often underperform their xG. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 6 and conceded 2, the hosts scored 4 and conceded 4, confirming Mekelakeya’s superior attacking form. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 (≈67% and a high away Over 1.5 share of 85%), whereas the 2.5 and 3.5 lines are less convincing (≈40% and 20%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project 2/2 (away team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) because Mekelakeya averages 1.15 first-half goals (21 HT goals) versus 0.38 for Dire Dawa (8 HT goals) and has led at the break in 62% of matches compared to 15% for the hosts. Over 90 minutes Mekelakeya scores 1.69 goals per match versus 0.77 for the hosts, and the away win rate this season is 46% compared to 23% for the home side, so the away advantage persists through the Full-Time. Both teams’ xG are almost identical (1.30 vs 1.31), so efficiency is decisive — the visitors’ shot conversion is 19% versus Dire Dawa’s 9%, increasing the likelihood they capitalize on chances. Additionally, Mekelakeya averages 2.15 points at Half-Time versus 1.15 for the hosts and records 3.38 shots on target on average versus 3.0 for the hosts, reinforcing the away team’s lead at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.8 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 94% better for: goals scored per game.
0.65 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.26 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Mekelakeya is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.85 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 46% of games (12 of 26 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 meczów).
Mekelakeya scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 meczów), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.63 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dire Dawa Kenema
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.65 | 1.79 | ▲ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Dire Dawa KenemaGoalMohammednur Nasir
- MekelakeyaGoalAlembirhan Yigzaw Azanawe
Head-to-head
Record from Dire Dawa Kenema's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mekelakeya. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 1:2 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.65 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.26. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 44% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mekelakeya 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.