Italy - Serie C Group AData current as of October 16, 2026

Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara: match statistics

Dolomiti Bellunesi crest
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2half-time 1:0
Novara crest
Novara

Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Dolomiti Bellunesi played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Dolomiti Bellunesi has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Novara has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Dolomiti Bellunesi scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 0.71. Novara scores 0.86 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's games and 43% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 43%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Novara has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.16 per game. Dolomiti Bellunesi takes 8.3 shots per game, while Novara takes 12.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Dolomiti Bellunesi leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Dolomiti Bellunesi's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

A draw looks the most likely outcome: Dolomiti Bellunesi have drawn 2 of their 3 home matches, with an average of just 1 goal scored in those games. The hosts have the better overall season record (2 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat compared with Novara’s 1 win, 3 draws and 3 defeats), but are yet to win at home. Both teams have failed to score in 67% of their matches at home and away respectively, making a decisive result less likely. Novara create slightly better chances on the road, averaging 1.42 xG compared with the hosts’ 1.28 at home, but both sides concede an average of 0.67 goals in these circumstances. Dolomiti have recorded 1 win and 3 draws in their last 5 matches, further pointing towards the points being shared.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest indication against both teams scoring is Novara’s lack of attacking output: the visitors have failed to score in 67% of their matches and average just 0.67 goals away from home. Dolomiti Bellunesi have also drawn a blank in 50% of their home matches, while both teams have averaged 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches. The historical rate of matches with goals from both sides stands at 50% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors, against a league average of 49%. Novara’s xG of 1.42 and the hosts’ average of 1.75 goals conceded at home provide some counterbalance, making an away goal a realistic possibility. Even so, frequent scoreless performances—particularly by Novara—make it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: Novara have stayed below this line in every match included in the available data, while the league average is 2.21 goals. The visitors average just 0.67 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their matches, although their average xG of 1.42 suggests greater attacking potential. Dolomiti Bellunesi average 1.00 goal, while Novara concede just 0.67, limiting the projected goal output for the hosts. Over their last five matches, both teams averaged 0.8 goals, and Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of those games. The projected total of 2.25 goals gives Under 3.5 a clearer edge than the riskier Under 2.5 line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal for a half-time draw is that Dolomiti Bellunesi were level at the break in all of their last five matches, while Novara were level in three of five; both teams averaged just 0.2 first-half goals over this period. A full-time draw is supported by their evenly matched recent scoring form: each team averaged 0.8 goals per match, while the hosts drew three of their last five games and the visitors drew two. Novara have a better record in the home and away matches covered by the statistics, averaging 1.33 points compared with Dolomiti’s 0.5, so a draw is not certain. However, the visitors have scored just 0.67 goals per match in these games and failed to score in 67% of them, which limits the likelihood of an away win. Therefore, a draw at both half-time and full-time is the most likely outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
11Shots13
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
3Shots on target7
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
1.24xG1.69
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
1Corners5
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
45Dangerous attacks51
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
10Fouls20
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0Cards3
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.86Goals scored / game0.86
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.71Goals allowed / game1.29
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
44%Average possession43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
3.29Shots on target / game2.86
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.29Shots per game12.43
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
3.29Shots on target2.86
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
10.3%Shot conversion6.9%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
44%Possession43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
1.16xG for1.38
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
1.83xG against1.46
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

Shooting quality

Dolomiti Bellunesi: BalancedNovara: Balanced
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)40%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Dolomiti Bellunesi is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1 pts / game - Novara

Dolomiti Bellunesi
WDDLD
Season result split
29% W57% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-1
1.43 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Novara
WLDDL
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dolomiti Bellunesi is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.71 goals / game - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1.29 goals / game - Novara

Dolomiti Bellunesi scoring profile: strong

Dolomiti Bellunesi scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Dolomiti Bellunesi keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

6Goals scored (season)6
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
5Goals conceded (season)9
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
1.57Average goals per game2.14
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
29%2 goals43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%3 goals0%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%4 goals0%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal86%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
14%2 goals43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%3 goals0%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%4 goals0%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%BTTS in both halves14%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%Scored in both halves14%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
60%BTTS - last 540%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

14%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dolomiti Bellunesi is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 0.43 pts / game - Novara

Dolomiti Bellunesi - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Novara - half-time state
0% leading43% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.43
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.14Goals scored (1st half)0.14
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.29Average goals (1st half)0.86
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
86%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
86%No goal before half-time86%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per game (2nd half)1.43
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
43%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
57%No goal after half-time57%
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara

Dolomiti Bellunesi - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Novara - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Dolomiti Bellunesi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Dolomiti Bellunesi
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Novara
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Dolomiti BellunesiLigaNovara
Average goals per game▼ 1.572.25▼ 2.14
Both teams scored▲ 57%51%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%47%▼ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 43%34%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 14%57%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 57%69%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.25
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.16
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NovaraYellow cardAndrea Valdesi
  2. Dolomiti BellunesiGoalLouis AgostiAssist: Matteo Saccani
  3. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Adrian CannavaroOff: Lorenzo Moretti
  4. Dolomiti BellunesiSubstitutionOn: Felipe Estrella GaleazziOff: Eljon Toci
  5. NovaraYellow cardMirko Miceli
  6. Dolomiti BellunesiSubstitutionOn: Diego SiaOff: Luca Clemenza
  7. NovaraYellow cardGianmarco Basso
  8. Dolomiti BellunesiSubstitutionOn: Nicolas TrabucchiOff: Francesco Migliardi
  9. NovaraGoalEyob ZambataroAssist: Diego Zuppel
  10. Dolomiti BellunesiSubstitutionOn: Zyed BeltaiefOff: Louis Agosti

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Dolomiti Bellunesi's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Novara. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Novara
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 1
Novara

FAQ

What was the result of Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?

The Serie C Group A match finished Dolomiti Bellunesi 1:2 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dolomiti Bellunesi and Novara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dolomiti Bellunesi won 0, Novara won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?

Dolomiti Bellunesi score 0.86 goals per game on average and Novara 0.86. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's matches and 43% of Novara's.

What form are Dolomiti Bellunesi and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Dolomiti Bellunesi have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Novara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?

The statistical background for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.