Dundee vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dundee play Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 30 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Dundee: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kilmarnock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dundee scores 1.11 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.32 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dundee 47%, Kilmarnock 55%. Over 2.5: Dundee 58%, Kilmarnock 66%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Kilmarnock has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.14. Dundee: 10.0 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 11.4.

Match halves

Dundee: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.55. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Dundee: 76-90+ (11 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
DundeeKilmarnock
26Shots8
DundeeKilmarnock
6Shots on target4
DundeeKilmarnock
2.43xG1.02
DundeeKilmarnock
7Corners5
DundeeKilmarnock
52Dangerous attacks31
DundeeKilmarnock
12Fouls17
DundeeKilmarnock
2Cards4
DundeeKilmarnock

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match1.32
DundeeKilmarnock
1.61Goals conceded / match1.79
DundeeKilmarnock
44%Average possession42%
DundeeKilmarnock
3.26Shots on target / match3.95
DundeeKilmarnock

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.03Shots per match11.39
DundeeKilmarnock
3.26Shots on target3.95
DundeeKilmarnock
11%Shot conversion11.5%
DundeeKilmarnock
44%Possession42%
DundeeKilmarnock
1.14xG for1.31
DundeeKilmarnock
1.73xG against1.64
DundeeKilmarnock

Shooting quality

Dundee: BalancedKilmarnock: Balanced
DundeeKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kilmarnock is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Dundee · 2.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee
LWWLW
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-18
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Kilmarnock
LWWWW
Season result split
26% W26% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-18
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kilmarnock is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Dundee · 1.32 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.61 goals / match - Dundee · 1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee scoring profile: strong

Dundee scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: very strong

Kilmarnock scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

42Goals scored (season)50
DundeeKilmarnock
61Goals conceded (season)68
DundeeKilmarnock
2.71Average goals in match3.11
DundeeKilmarnock
8Goals scored (last 5)13
DundeeKilmarnock
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
DundeeKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal74%
DundeeKilmarnock
34%2 goals37%
DundeeKilmarnock
16%3 goals16%
DundeeKilmarnock
0%4 goals5%
DundeeKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal76%
DundeeKilmarnock
53%2 goals53%
DundeeKilmarnock
21%3 goals34%
DundeeKilmarnock
5%4 goals11%
DundeeKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
DundeeKilmarnock
5%BTTS in both halves5%
DundeeKilmarnock
21%Scored in both halves24%
DundeeKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
DundeeKilmarnock
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
DundeeKilmarnock
40%BTTS - last 540%
DundeeKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
DundeeKilmarnock
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
DundeeKilmarnock
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
DundeeKilmarnock

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
DundeeKilmarnock
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
DundeeKilmarnock
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
DundeeKilmarnock

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kilmarnock is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Dundee · 1.42 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee - half-time state
29% leading29% draw42% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
39% leading24% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.42
DundeeKilmarnock
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.68
DundeeKilmarnock
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
DundeeKilmarnock
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.39
DundeeKilmarnock
47%Clean sheet before half-time50%
DundeeKilmarnock
58%No goal before half-time50%
DundeeKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.08
DundeeKilmarnock
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
DundeeKilmarnock
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
DundeeKilmarnock
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.71
DundeeKilmarnock
45%Clean sheet after half-time39%
DundeeKilmarnock
61%No goal after half-time53%
DundeeKilmarnock

Dundee - second-half results

16% W50% R34% P
44
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

26% W29% R45% P
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dundee - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dundee
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
9
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
8
61-75
11
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
10
11
16-30
12
6
31-45
9
14
46-60
5
11
61-75
10
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dundee

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

DundeeLigaKilmarnock
Average goals in match 2.712.78 3.11
Both teams scored 47%52% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%53% 66%
Clean sheets 18%28% 24%
Goal before half-time 76%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 71%80% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Dundee 0 - 2 - 1 Kilmarnock. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The Premiership match finished Dundee 2:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Kilmarnock?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dundee won 0, Kilmarnock won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

Dundee score 1.11 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Dundee's matches and 55% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are Dundee and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kilmarnock 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The statistical background for Dundee vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.