Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel: match statistics
Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dynamo Dresden play Holstein Kiel in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dynamo Dresden: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Holstein Kiel: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dynamo Dresden scores 1.59 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Holstein Kiel scores 1.29 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dynamo Dresden 71%, Holstein Kiel 62%. Over 2.5: Dynamo Dresden 71%, Holstein Kiel 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Dynamo Dresden has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.31. Dynamo Dresden: 13.0 shots per match, Holstein Kiel: 12.0.
Match halves
Dynamo Dresden: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.65. Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Dynamo Dresden: 31-45+ (17 goals). Holstein Kiel: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Dynamo mają przewagę z uwagi na statystyki z własnego stadionu: gospodarze strzelają u siebie średnio 1.75 gola na mecz wobec 1.31 zdobywanych przez Holstein na wyjazdach, a średnie xG Dynama to 1.42 wobec 1.15 gości. Defensywnie Dynamo również wypada lepiej — tracą średnio 1.31 gola u siebie, podczas gdy Holstein traci 1.69 na wyjazdach i ma wyższe średnie xG przeciwko (1.82 vs 1.44). Dynamo oddaje więcej strzałów (12.81 vs 10.88) i więcej strzałów w światło bramki (4.5 vs 3.13) oraz cechuje się wyższą skutecznością strzałów (14% vs 12%), co przekłada się na lepsze kreowanie okazji. Argument za gośćmi to bardzo dobra forma (4 zwycięstwa w ostatnich 5 meczach i średnio 2.4 pkt na mecz wobec 3 zwycięstw i 1.8 pkt u Dynama), dlatego remis i trafienia ze strony Holsteinu pozostają realne, zwłaszcza że obie drużyny tylko w 13% spotkań pozostają bezbramkowe. Biorąc pod uwagę przewagę Dynama w xG, defensywie i skuteczności na ich boisku, przewiduję zwycięstwo gospodarzy z prawdopodobieństwem około 60%, remis 22% i wygraną gości 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dynamo Dresden | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dynamo Dresden is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Dynamo Dresden · 1.29 goals / match - Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Dynamo Dresden · 1.41 goals / match - Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Holstein Kiel scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Dynamo Dresden keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dynamo Dresden
Over / Under — Holstein Kiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dynamo Dresden is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Dynamo Dresden · 1.29 pts / match - Holstein Kiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dynamo Dresden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Dynamo Dresden | Liga | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dynamo Dresden 0 - 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Dynamo Dresden 2:1 Holstein Kiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
Dynamo Dresden score 1.59 goals per game on average and Holstein Kiel 1.29. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Dynamo Dresden's matches and 62% of Holstein Kiel's.
What form are Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel in?
Over the last 5 games Dynamo Dresden have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Holstein Kiel 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The statistical background for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.