Scotland - League TwoData current as of 23 July 2026

East Kilbride vs Elgin City: match statistics

East Kilbride crest
East Kilbride
3 : 0half-time 2:0
Elgin City crest
Elgin City
155%(1.65)
X28%(3.90)
217%(3.90)

East Kilbride displays excellent form, having won all of their last five matches and scoring an impressive 18 goals during this period. The hosts sit in first place in the table and hold an advantage in direct efficiency, scoring an average of 1.85 goals per home match with an 18% conversion rate. Elgin City struggles on the road, winning just 17% of away matches and drawing as many as half of their games, indicating a defensive approach. The visitors have a negative goal difference (-4) away from home and only 8% clean sheets, making them vulnerable to conceding. Considering East Kilbride's dominance at home (46% wins) and Elgin's tendency to draw on the road, I expect a home victory, though accounting for the possibility of a draw given the visitors' statistics.

East Kilbride vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

East Kilbride play Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

East Kilbride: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Elgin City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

East Kilbride scores 2.14 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.42 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: East Kilbride 61%, Elgin City 58%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 67%, Elgin City 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.27. East Kilbride: 10.2 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.5.

Match halves

East Kilbride: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.83. Elgin City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

East Kilbride: 31-45+ (21 goals). Elgin City: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 33%.

Match description

East Kilbride displays excellent form, having won all of their last five matches and scoring an impressive 18 goals during this period. The hosts sit in first place in the table and hold an advantage in direct efficiency, scoring an average of 1.85 goals per home match with an 18% conversion rate. Elgin City struggles on the road, winning just 17% of away matches and drawing as many as half of their games, indicating a defensive approach. The visitors have a negative goal difference (-4) away from home and only 8% clean sheets, making them vulnerable to conceding. Considering East Kilbride's dominance at home (46% wins) and Elgin's tendency to draw on the road, I expect a home victory, though accounting for the possibility of a draw given the visitors' statistics.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
East KilbrideElgin City
12Shots5
East KilbrideElgin City
8Shots on target0
East KilbrideElgin City
1.72xG0.73
East KilbrideElgin City
4Corners4
East KilbrideElgin City
55Dangerous attacks56
East KilbrideElgin City
7Fouls16
East KilbrideElgin City
1Cards1
East KilbrideElgin City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

East KilbrideElgin City
2.14Goals scored / match1.42
East KilbrideElgin City
1.25Goals conceded / match1.53
East KilbrideElgin City
54%Average possession50%
East KilbrideElgin City
5.42Shots on target / match4.42
East KilbrideElgin City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.22Shots per match9.47
East KilbrideElgin City
5.42Shots on target4.42
East KilbrideElgin City
20.9%Shot conversion15%
East KilbrideElgin City
54%Possession50%
East KilbrideElgin City
1.45xG for1.27
East KilbrideElgin City
1.11xG against1.17
East KilbrideElgin City

Shooting quality

East Kilbride: Efficient finishingElgin City: Efficient finishing
East KilbrideElgin City
Accuracy (shots on target)53%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

East Kilbride is 500% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - East Kilbride · 0.4 pts / match - Elgin City

East Kilbride
WLWWW
Season result split
58% W19% R22% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-7-8
1.94 pts / match · goal difference +32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-3-4
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 0.74BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Elgin City
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W31% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-11-14
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-8-7
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

2.14 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.42 goals / match - Elgin City

East Kilbride is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.53 goals / match - Elgin City

East Kilbride scoring profile: very strong

East Kilbride scores in 89% of matches (32 of 36 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).

77Goals scored (season)51
East KilbrideElgin City
45Goals conceded (season)55
East KilbrideElgin City
3.39Average goals in match2.94
East KilbrideElgin City
12Goals scored (last 5)4
East KilbrideElgin City
2Goals conceded (last 5)9
East KilbrideElgin City

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal81%
East KilbrideElgin City
58%2 goals47%
East KilbrideElgin City
42%3 goals14%
East KilbrideElgin City
14%4 goals0%
East KilbrideElgin City

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal75%
East KilbrideElgin City
33%2 goals39%
East KilbrideElgin City
11%3 goals25%
East KilbrideElgin City
3%4 goals8%
East KilbrideElgin City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time19%
East KilbrideElgin City
3%BTTS in both halves8%
East KilbrideElgin City
31%Scored in both halves25%
East KilbrideElgin City

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
East KilbrideElgin City
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
East KilbrideElgin City
20%BTTS - last 560%
East KilbrideElgin City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
East KilbrideElgin City
64%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
East KilbrideElgin City
36%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
East KilbrideElgin City

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
East KilbrideElgin City
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
East KilbrideElgin City
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
East KilbrideElgin City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

East Kilbride is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.92 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.19 pts / match - Elgin City

East Kilbride - half-time state
58% leading17% draw25% trailing
Elgin City - half-time state
28% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.92Points per match (1st half)1.19
East KilbrideElgin City
1.31Goals scored (1st half)0.56
East KilbrideElgin City
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
East KilbrideElgin City
1.97Average goals (1st half)1.22
East KilbrideElgin City
58%Clean sheet before half-time53%
East KilbrideElgin City
28%No goal before half-time58%
East KilbrideElgin City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1.31
East KilbrideElgin City
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
East KilbrideElgin City
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
East KilbrideElgin City
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.72
East KilbrideElgin City
53%Clean sheet after half-time44%
East KilbrideElgin City
53%No goal after half-time36%
East KilbrideElgin City

East Kilbride - second-half results

33% W36% R31% P
69
Half-time points
47
Half-time goals
+23
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Elgin City - second-half results

33% W31% R36% P
43
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

East Kilbride - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
12
11
0-15
14
6
16-30
21
7
31-45
9
5
46-60
10
6
61-75
11
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
4
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
9
6
46-60
11
12
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

East KilbrideLigaElgin City
Average goals in match 3.392.92 2.94
Both teams scored 61%61% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%56% 56%
Clean sheets 28%22% 25%
Goal before half-time 89%74% 69%
Goal after half-time 72%79% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): East Kilbride 3 - 0 - 0 Elgin City. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Elgin City FC
1 : 6
East Kilbride FC
East Kilbride FC
3 : 0
Elgin City FC
Elgin City FC
0 : 1
East Kilbride FC

FAQ

What was the result of East Kilbride vs Elgin City?

The League Two match finished East Kilbride 3:0 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Elgin City?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 3, Elgin City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Elgin City?

East Kilbride score 2.14 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.42. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 61% of East Kilbride's matches and 58% of Elgin City's.

What form are East Kilbride and Elgin City in?

Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Elgin City 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Elgin City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Elgin City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.