Egersund vs Hødd: match statistics

Egersund win 50% of their home matches, while Hødd win 25% of their away games and lose half of them. The hosts average 1.58 goals at home with an xG of 1.55, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 1.80 away from home and concede an average of 2.25 goals. Egersund also have the edge in shots on target at home compared with Hødd away (4.5 to 3.17), although the visitors convert their chances more often (17% to 13%). Recent results nevertheless call for caution: Egersund have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, conceding 13 goals, while Hødd have also won just once and conceded 12. Home advantage and Hødd’s noticeably weaker away defense point to an Egersund win, despite both teams’ recent vulnerability at the back.

BTTS landed in 75% of Egersund’s matches and 67% of Hødd’s, both above the league average of 63%. Both defenses allow opponents chances: the hosts concede an average of 1.75 goals, while the visitors concede 2.25, and each team kept a clean sheet in just 8% of matches. Egersund score an average of 1.92 goals, which, combined with Hødd’s high goals-against rate, points to a home goal. The visitors, in turn, score an average of 1.42 goals, while Egersund have conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match across their last 5 games. Caution is warranted because Hødd failed to score in 33% of matches; however, the overall evidence of strong scoring and weak defending on both sides points to BTTS - Yes.

Egersund matches went over the 1.5-goal line in 92% of cases, while Hødd matches did so in 75%, making this the strongest signal among the thresholds analyzed. Both defenses concede heavily: the hosts average 1.75 goals conceded per match and the visitors 2.25; moreover, each team has kept a clean sheet in just 8% of their matches. Across their last five games, Egersund conceded an average of 2.6 goals and Hødd 2.4, so even with only moderate attacking output, at least two goals in the match look likely. The projected total of 3.3 goals supports Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line is less certain despite being surpassed in 75% of Egersund matches and 67% of Hødd matches.

Egersund led at the break in 58% of matches, while Hødd were trailing at half-time in 42%, giving the hosts a clear advantage early in the game. Their first-half scoring averages reinforce this: Egersund score 1.25 goals before the break, while Hødd score 0.42 and concede 0.83. The hosts’ overall record supports the likelihood of them holding their lead, with a 58% win rate compared with the visitors’ 25%, as does the fact that Hødd concede an average of 2.25 goals per match. The 1/1 pick is not without risk, however: Egersund have failed to score after the break in their last five matches, while Hødd have averaged 0.8 goals in the second half. Despite this, Egersund’s advantage in first-half and full-time results makes a home lead at the break followed by a win the most likely single scenario in the HT/FT market.