Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: match statistics
Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Eindhoven played against De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Eindhoven has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. De Graafschap has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Eindhoven scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.73. De Graafschap scores 1.85 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Eindhoven's games and 73% of De Graafschap's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 64%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
De Graafschap has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.58 per game. Eindhoven takes 14.6 shots per game, while De Graafschap takes 17.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Eindhoven leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. De Graafschap leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Eindhoven's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For De Graafschap, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2) because De Graafschap posts superior season metrics and a clear offensive edge: 3rd in the table vs 12th and 61 goals scored vs 47 for Eindhoven. The visitors generate more chances — average xG 1.80 vs 1.53, average shots 15.5 vs 13.63 and higher possession (54% vs 44%) — translating into greater control of the game. Eindhoven nonetheless have a home advantage: 1.81 goals scored per home match on average, 31% clean sheets and better recent form (5-match average 1.8 points per game vs 1.4 for De Graafschap), so the hosts remain dangerous. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 9 and conceded 10, while Eindhoven scored 7 and conceded 6, indicating greater defensive volatility for De Graafschap. Shot efficiency is similar (conversion 12% for the visitors vs 13% for the hosts) and the share of matches without scoring is equal at 25%, so I expect goals from both sides and an open contest (average total goals ~3.3). Based on this I assign a 48% probability to a De Graafschap win, 28% to Eindhoven and 24% to a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams present a strong BTTS signal: Eindhoven has 76% BTTS matches this season, De Graafschap 69%, both above the league average of 62%, and in the last 5 fixtures both teams register 80% BTTS. Seasonally Eindhoven scores 1.88 and concedes 1.65, De Graafschap scores 1.81 and concedes 1.44; in the last 5 matches the home side averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, while the visitors averaged 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. xG confirms goal potential on both sides: Eindhoven generates 2.22 xG versus average xG against De Graafschap of 1.87, and De Graafschap has 1.80 xG with average xG against Eindhoven 1.70. Shot stats show offensive pressure (Eindhoven 19.94 shots and 7.88 on target vs De Graafschap 15.5 and 6.25) with conversion rates of 9% and 12%, and low clean sheet percentages (18% vs 13%) plus a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (65% vs 63%) further reinforce the BTTS - Yes scenario, therefore I tip BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams strongly favor goals: Eindhoven has Over 1.5 in 88% of matches, De Graafschap also 88%, and in the last 5 meetings the two sides have combined for 16 goals (3.2 per game), so I estimate Over 1.5 at roughly 90%. The xG model confirms the offensive profile: home xG is 2.22 versus opponent xG against of 1.87 (yielding ~2.05 expected goals for Eindhoven), while the visitors combine 1.80 xG and 1.70 xG against for ~1.75, giving ~3.80 xG for the match. Season Over 2.5 rates are 65% for Eindhoven and 63% for De Graafschap, and in the last 5 rounds both teams have Over 2.5 at 80%, therefore I assess Over 2.5 at 72%. Over 3.5 is more marginal (seasonally 53% vs 44%); with ~3.8 predicted goals I give Over 3.5 about 48% (a slight edge to Under 3.5). Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 with the highest probability, while from market lines Over 2.5 also looks attractive.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows De Graafschap scores more often before the break: their average first-half goals is 1.00 versus Eindhoven’s 0.82, and 7 of the visitors’ goals came in the 31–45 minute window versus 2 for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of the visitors leading at half-time. At the same time Eindhoven has a higher xG (2.22 vs 1.80) and averages more shots (19.94 vs 15.5), and the hosts are very active after the break — 10 goals in the 46–60 minute period versus 1 for their opponents — which favors a turnaround in the second half. In the last 5 matches Eindhoven has won 60% of games versus 40% for De Graafschap, while De Graafschap led at half-time in 60% of their last 5 matches, supporting the scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and the hosts coming back after the break. Additionally, the high proportion of matches in which both teams score (76% for Eindhoven, 69% for De Graafschap) and the league average goals of 3.19 suggest an open game with exchanged strikes. For these reasons I assign the highest probability to the “2/1” scenario (visitors lead at half-time, hosts win); alternatives are X/1 or X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Eindhoven | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Eindhoven is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Eindhoven · 1.4 pts / game - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Eindhoven · 1.85 goals / game - De Graafschap
De Graafschap is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Eindhoven · 1.55 goals / game - De Graafschap
Eindhoven scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 meczów).
De Graafschap scores in 85% of games (28 of 33 meczów), while Eindhoven keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eindhoven
Over / Under - De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
De Graafschap is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Eindhoven · 1.7 pts / game - De Graafschap
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eindhoven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Eindhoven
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Eindhoven | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.15 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Eindhoven's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against De Graafschap. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Eindhoven 2:2 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
Eindhoven score 1.42 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.85. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Eindhoven's matches and 73% of De Graafschap's.
What form are Eindhoven and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games Eindhoven have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and De Graafschap 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.