El Entag El Harby vs Nasr: match statistics

El Entag El Harby sit 5th, while Nasr are only 14th, highlighting a clear gap in the teams’ standings so far. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, whereas Nasr have managed just 4 goals while conceding as many as 12. The visitors’ defense has allowed an average of 2.4 goals per game during this period—twice as many as El Entag El Harby, who have conceded 1.2 goals per match. The hosts have won 1 of their last five games and drawn twice, while Nasr have suffered as many as 3 defeats over the same period. El Entag El Harby’s slight attacking advantage, combined with the visitors’ significantly weaker defense, points towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out.

Both teams recorded BTTS in only 40% of their last five matches, which more often points to at least one side failing to score. Nasr averaged just 0.8 goals per match during this period, with average xG of only 0.75, highlighting their limited attacking potential. El Entag El Harby averaged 1.0 goal, but likewise did not demonstrate a high quality of chance creation, recording xG of 0.98. Nasr’s poor defensive record, conceding 2.4 goals per match, increases the hosts’ chances of scoring, but does not offset the risk of the visitors failing to respond with a goal. Therefore, BTTS - No is the more likely outcome, including results where one team keeps a clean sheet.

Full-season data for both teams is unavailable, so the greatest weight is placed on their last 5 matches. El Entag El Harby averaged 1.0 goals during this period, while Nasr averaged just 0.8, with xG figures of 0.98 and 0.75 respectively, limiting the baseline attacking potential of both sides. Nasr did concede as many as 2.4 goals per match, giving the hosts grounds for an output of around 1.35 goals, but El Entag El Harby conceded an average of 1.2 goals, while the visitors’ attacking numbers do not point to a high goal tally. The 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 3 of the last 5 matches for each team, but both sides scored in just 40% of those fixtures, reducing the risk of an open, four-goal game. The projected total of 2.30 goals provides a clear edge to Under 3.5 goals, as at least 4 goals would be required despite the low xG figures of both attacks.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an El Entag El Harby win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 50% for Nasr. During this period, Nasr failed to score before half-time, conceding an average of 1.5 goals, while El Entag El Harby averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the first half. Over the full 90 minutes, the hosts appear more defensively stable: they conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their last five matches, compared with 2.4 for Nasr, who lost 60% of those games. El Entag El Harby averaged 1.0 goal per match, while the visitors averaged 0.8, so after a cautious first half, a turnaround in favor of the hosts is more likely.