United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of October 17, 2026

El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics

Reasoning:

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El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

El Paso Locomotive plays Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026.

Recent form

El Paso Locomotive has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Sacramento Republic has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

El Paso Locomotive scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.29. Sacramento Republic scores 1.36 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of El Paso Locomotive's games and 57% of Sacramento Republic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 32%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

El Paso Locomotive has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.49 per game. El Paso Locomotive takes 12.9 shots per game, while Sacramento Republic takes 12.4.

First-half and second-half trends

El Paso Locomotive leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Sacramento Republic leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.82 after halftime.

When the teams score

El Paso Locomotive's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). For Sacramento Republic, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.74)
(3.38)
(2.41)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.71Goals scored / game1.36
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.29Goals allowed / game0.93
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
50%Average possession53%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
4.79Shots on target / game4.04
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.89Shots per game12.43
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
4.79Shots on target4.04
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
13.3%Shot conversion10.9%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
50%Possession53%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.51xG for1.49
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.49xG against1.16
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

Shooting quality

El Paso Locomotive: Efficient finishingSacramento Republic: Balanced
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

El Paso Locomotive is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.8 pts / game - Sacramento Republic

El Paso Locomotive
WWDLW
Season result split
54% W18% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-5-8
1.79 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Sacramento Republic
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
39% W43% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-12-5
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-8-3
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

El Paso Locomotive is 26% better for: goals scored per game.

1.71 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.36 goals / game - Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.29 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 0.93 goals / game - Sacramento Republic

El Paso Locomotive scoring profile: very strong

El Paso Locomotive scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 games), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 games).

Sacramento Republic scoring profile: very strong

Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 games), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 games).

48Goals scored (season)38
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
36Goals conceded (season)26
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
3Average goals per game2.29
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
9Goals scored (last 5)8
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal79%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
54%2 goals32%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
21%3 goals18%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
7%4 goals4%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal68%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
32%2 goals25%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
14%3 goals0%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
7%4 goals0%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
El Paso Locomotive - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 28 games
57%
Sacramento Republic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 28 games
54%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time18%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
11%BTTS in both halves4%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
36%Scored in both halves14%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
100%BTTS - last 580%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

El Paso Locomotive is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.18 pts / game - Sacramento Republic

El Paso Locomotive - half-time state
43% leading36% draw21% trailing
Sacramento Republic - half-time state
21% leading54% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per game (1st half)1.18
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.07Goals scored (1st half)0.54
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.68Average goals (1st half)1.07
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
50%Clean sheet before half-time57%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
29%No goal before half-time68%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.75
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.21
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
46%Clean sheet after half-time64%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
46%No goal after half-time39%
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic

El Paso Locomotive - second-half results

32% W32% D36% L
46
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sacramento Republic - second-half results

43% W46% D11% L
33
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

El Paso Locomotive - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game1.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7
Sacramento Republic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

El Paso Locomotive
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
11
5
16-30
11
8
31-45
10
5
46-60
1
7
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Sacramento Republic
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
6
7
16-30
5
6
31-45
5
2
46-60
6
6
61-75
12
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

El Paso Locomotive

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Sacramento Republic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

El Paso LocomotiveLigaSacramento Republic
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.70▼ 2.29
Both teams scored▲ 64%54%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%49%▼ 32%
Clean sheets▼ 25%28%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%66%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%77%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from El Paso Locomotive's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Sacramento Republic. Games average 2.40 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

Sacramento Republic
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive FC
1 : 0
Sacramento Republic FC
Sacramento Republic FC
3 : 0
El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
2 : 0
El Paso Locomotive

FAQ

When do El Paso Locomotive and Sacramento Republic play?

El Paso Locomotive face Sacramento Republic on October 18, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Sacramento Republic?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 3, Sacramento Republic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

El Paso Locomotive score 1.71 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.36. The USL Championship average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 57% of Sacramento Republic's.

What form are El Paso Locomotive and Sacramento Republic in?

Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.