Elgin City vs Dumbarton: match statistics
Elgin City demonstrate solid home form with a 46% home win rate and failing to score in only 8% of their matches, making them a formidable opponent at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Dumbarton concede an average of 2 goals in away fixtures, failing to keep a single clean sheet (0% CS%). Elgin's home goal difference is +2, while Dumbarton's away goal difference is -9, highlighting the visitors' struggles on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Elgin: 1.8 PPG, Dumbarton: 1.6 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home statistics and the visitors' defensive frailties strongly advocate for an Elgin City victory. Taking all factors into account, I predict a home win, though Dumbarton could spring a surprise, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
Elgin City vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Elgin City played against Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Elgin City has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Dumbarton has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Elgin City scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.67. Dumbarton scores 1.39 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Elgin City's games and 71% of Dumbarton's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 57%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Elgin City has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.04 per game. Elgin City takes 9.8 shots per game, while Dumbarton takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Elgin City leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Dumbarton leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Elgin City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Dumbarton, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elgin City demonstrate solid home form with a 46% home win rate and failing to score in only 8% of their matches, making them a formidable opponent at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Dumbarton concede an average of 2 goals in away fixtures, failing to keep a single clean sheet (0% CS%). Elgin's home goal difference is +2, while Dumbarton's away goal difference is -9, highlighting the visitors' struggles on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Elgin: 1.8 PPG, Dumbarton: 1.6 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home statistics and the visitors' defensive frailties strongly advocate for an Elgin City victory. Taking all factors into account, I predict a home win, though Dumbarton could spring a surprise, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Elgin City is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Elgin City · 1.6 pts / game - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 meczów).
Dumbarton scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Elgin City
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.11 | 2.99 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Elgin City's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Dumbarton. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 1:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Dumbarton?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Dumbarton won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
Elgin City score 1.44 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.39. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Elgin City's matches and 71% of Dumbarton's.
What form are Elgin City and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Dumbarton 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.