ES Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela: match statistics
ES Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ES Mostaganem play USM Khenchela in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
ES Mostaganem: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. USM Khenchela: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ES Mostaganem scores 0.60 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. USM Khenchela scores 1.23 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ES Mostaganem 27%, USM Khenchela 57%. Over 2.5: ES Mostaganem 40%, USM Khenchela 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
USM Khenchela has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.04. ES Mostaganem: 7.0 shots per match, USM Khenchela: 10.8.
Match halves
ES Mostaganem: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.30. USM Khenchela: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
ES Mostaganem: 16-30 (5 goals). USM Khenchela: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a victory for USM Khenchela (2). The visitors sit 10th with 8 wins and 26 goals this season, while ES Mostaganem are 15th with 4 wins and 15 goals, giving a seasonal offensive edge to the visitors. In their last 5 matches Mostaganem scored only 3 and conceded 18 (avg. 0.6 scored and 3.6 conceded per match) and average 0.6 points per game, whereas USM in the same period scored 5 and conceded 6, averaging 1.2 points per game — a clear advantage for the visitors. Chance creation quality is similar (xG 1.30 vs 1.29, avg. shots 9.67 vs 9.73 and on-target 4.25 vs 3.91), but Mostaganem have a higher share of home matches without a goal (42% vs 27%) and have recently had serious defensive issues. Although the hosts have 33% clean sheets at home versus 0% for the visitors away, the current losing run and the high number of goals conceded in the last 5 matches favor USM; I propose probability distribution: visitors 60%, draw 22%, hosts 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ES Mostaganem | USM Khenchela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
USM Khenchela is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 2 pts / match - USM Khenchela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USM Khenchela is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.23 goals / match - USM Khenchela
USM Khenchela is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.23 goals / match - USM Khenchela
ES Mostaganem scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while USM Khenchela keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
USM Khenchela scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while ES Mostaganem keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — ES Mostaganem
Over / Under — USM Khenchela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USM Khenchela is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - ES Mostaganem · 1.63 pts / match - USM Khenchela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ES Mostaganem - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
USM Khenchela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ES Mostaganem
USM Khenchela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| ES Mostaganem | Liga | USM Khenchela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 40% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ES Mostaganem 0 - 0 - 1 USM Khenchela. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ES Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?
The Ligue 1 match finished ES Mostaganem 0:3 USM Khenchela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ES Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?
ES Mostaganem score 0.60 goals per game on average and USM Khenchela 1.23. The Ligue 1 average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 27% of ES Mostaganem's matches and 57% of USM Khenchela's.
What form are ES Mostaganem and USM Khenchela in?
Over the last 5 games ES Mostaganem have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and USM Khenchela 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ES Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ES Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.