Esbjerg vs AaB: match statistics
Esbjerg vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Esbjerg played against AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Blue Water Arena. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Esbjerg has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. AaB has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Esbjerg scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 2.11. AaB scores 1.22 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Esbjerg's games and 56% of AaB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 56%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AaB has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.43 per game. Esbjerg takes 12.4 shots per game, while AaB takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Esbjerg leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. AaB leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Esbjerg's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For AaB, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB sit 5th, while Esbjerg are 12th; over their last five matches, the visitors have lost once, whereas the hosts have suffered three defeats. Away from home, AaB average 1.75 goals and 5 shots on target per match, compared with Esbjerg’s 1 goal and 3.5 shots on target at home. The difference in finishing is reflected in shot conversion rates of 14% for the visitors and 8% for the hosts, although their average xG figures are closer: 1.46 versus 1.35. Esbjerg concede an average of 1.75 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there, which supports an away win for AaB. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as three of the visitors’ last five matches ended level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
AaB average 1.75 goals scored away from home and have not failed to score in any of those matches, making an AaB goal quite likely. Esbjerg are more of a concern: they average just 0.8 goals at home and have failed to score in 40% of their matches. Even so, the hosts generate 1.61 xG at home, while AaB allow opponents an average of 1.54 xG, giving Esbjerg a realistic chance of scoring. BTTS - Yes landed in 75% of AaB’s away matches, but in only 40% of Esbjerg’s home games, so the lean is moderately in favor of BTTS - Yes rather than a strong one.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of AaB’s matches and 60% of Esbjerg’s. The visitors score an average of 1.75 goals per match and have found the net in every game, while the hosts concede an average of 1.2 goals. Esbjerg do score only 0.8 goals per match, but their average xG is 1.61, and AaB allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.54, giving the hosts a chance to score. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.4 goals per game, and at least 3 goals were scored in 60% of each team’s matches. The 2.80-goal forecast supports a goals bet, but the gap between 100% of AaB matches going Over 1.5 and 75% going Over 2.5 indicates a clear edge on the lower line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by an AaB win looks the most likely outcome: Esbjerg were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their 5 home matches and did not concede before the break in any of them. AaB did lead at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches, however, so the 2/2 outcome remains almost equally plausible. The visitors’ average of 1.75 goals scored away from home, compared with Esbjerg’s 0.8 at home, supports an AaB win. After the break, the hosts concede an average of 1.2 goals and have lost the second half in 60% of their home matches, increasing the likelihood of AaB deciding the game in their favor after the interval. This is not a decisive pick, though: Esbjerg have a home xG of 1.61, compared with AaB’s 1.46 away from home, so the hosts also have reason to expect chances.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Esbjerg | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AaB is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Esbjerg · 1.2 pts / game - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Esbjerg · 1.22 goals / game - AaB
AaB is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.11 goals / game - Esbjerg · 1.22 goals / game - AaB
Esbjerg scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
AaB scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esbjerg
Over / Under - AaB
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Esbjerg · 2 pts / game - AaB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Esbjerg
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Esbjerg | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.22 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Esbjerg's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against AaB. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Esbjerg vs AaB?
The 1st Division match finished Esbjerg 3:3 AaB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Esbjerg and AaB?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 1, AaB won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Esbjerg vs AaB?
Esbjerg score 1.11 goals per game on average and AaB 1.22. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Esbjerg's matches and 56% of AaB's.
What form are Esbjerg and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games Esbjerg have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and AaB 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esbjerg vs AaB?
The statistical background for Esbjerg vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.