Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams from the bottom of the table. Estrela Amadora, in 14th place, is in poor form with just 0.4 points per game over their last five matches, having failed to win any of them. Casa Pia in 15th shows slightly better form with 1.2 points per game, but their away record remains problematic with 54% defeats and only 23% wins. The hosts have a possession advantage (53% vs 42%) and a slightly better xG in home matches (1.36 vs 0.99 for the visitors away), yet their defense is as leaky as their opponent's. Both teams are characterized by similar goal efficiency and a high percentage of goals conceded, which suggests a draw scenario. Considering the poor form of both sides and their league position, I expect a cautious, tactical match ending in a share of the points.
Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Estrela Amadora played against Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Estrela Amadora has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Casa Pia has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Estrela Amadora scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.73. Casa Pia scores 1.04 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's games and 48% of Casa Pia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 48%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Estrela Amadora has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 0.95 per game. Estrela Amadora takes 10.7 shots per game, while Casa Pia takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Casa Pia leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Estrela Amadora's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Casa Pia, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 8.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams from the bottom of the table. Estrela Amadora, in 14th place, is in poor form with just 0.4 points per game over their last five matches, having failed to win any of them. Casa Pia in 15th shows slightly better form with 1.2 points per game, but their away record remains problematic with 54% defeats and only 23% wins. The hosts have a possession advantage (53% vs 42%) and a slightly better xG in home matches (1.36 vs 0.99 for the visitors away), yet their defense is as leaky as their opponent's. Both teams are characterized by similar goal efficiency and a high percentage of goals conceded, which suggests a draw scenario. Considering the poor form of both sides and their league position, I expect a cautious, tactical match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Casa Pia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Estrela Amadora · 1.2 pts / game - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Estrela Amadora · 1.04 goals / game - Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
Casa Pia scores in 56% of games (14 of 25 meczów), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casa Pia is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - Estrela Amadora · 1.16 pts / game - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.85 | 2.72 | • 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Estrela Amadora's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Casa Pia. Games average 8.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 4:0 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?
Estrela Amadora score 1.12 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 1.04. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 48% of Casa Pia's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Casa Pia 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.