Portugal - Liga NOSEstádio José GomesData current as of October 20, 2026

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Estrela Amadora plays Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Estádio José Gomes.

Recent form

Estrela Amadora has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Casa Pia has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Estrela Amadora scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.88. Casa Pia scores 0.38 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of Estrela Amadora's games and 25% of Casa Pia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 38%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Estrela Amadora has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.11 per game. Estrela Amadora takes 12.9 shots per game, while Casa Pia takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.38 goals per game after halftime. Casa Pia leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Estrela Amadora's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Casa Pia, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga Portugal games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.63)
(4.38)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.75Goals scored / game0.38
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.88Goals allowed / game2.13
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
51%Average possession44%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
4.13Shots on target / game2.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.88Shots per game9.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
4.13Shots on target2.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
13.6%Shot conversion3.9%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
51%Possession44%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.4xG for1.11
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.3xG against1.69
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Shooting quality

Estrela Amadora: Efficient finishingCasa Pia: Balanced
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
Accuracy (shots on target)32%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Estrela Amadora is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Estrela Amadora · 0.8 pts / game - Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora
DWDLL
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-2
1.25 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Casa Pia
LDLWL
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Estrela Amadora is 361% better for: goals scored per game.

1.75 goals / game - Estrela Amadora · 0.38 goals / game - Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.88 goals / game - Estrela Amadora · 2.13 goals / game - Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora scoring profile: very strong

Estrela Amadora scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

Casa Pia scoring profile: strong

Casa Pia scores in 25% of games (2 of 8 games), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).

14Goals scored (season)3
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
15Goals conceded (season)17
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
3.63Average goals per game2.5
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
75%2 goals13%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%3 goals0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%4 goals0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
75%2 goals38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
13%3 goals25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%4 goals25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time13%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%BTTS in both halves0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
38%Scored in both halves0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
60%BTTS - last 540%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
63%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Estrela Amadora - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing
Casa Pia - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.63Points per game (1st half)0.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.13
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.25Average goals (1st half)0.88
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
63%No goal before half-time88%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)0.75
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.38
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
2.38Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
25%No goal after half-time88%
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia

Estrela Amadora - second-half results

38% W63% D0% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Casa Pia - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Estrela Amadora - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.80
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Casa Pia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Estrela Amadora
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
4
46-60
5
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Casa Pia
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.07
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+96%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
19%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Estrela Amadora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Casa Pia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
26%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

Estrela AmadoraLigaCasa Pia
Average goals per game▲ 3.632.75▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▲ 75%51%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%56%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▼ 0%27%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%72%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.44
Away goals / game
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-10%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Estrela Amadora's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Casa Pia. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Estrela Amadora
4 : 0
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
3 : 5
Estrela Amadora

FAQ

When do Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia play?

Estrela Amadora face Casa Pia on October 24, 2026 in Liga NOS at Estádio José Gomes. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estrela Amadora won 2, Casa Pia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

Estrela Amadora score 1.75 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 0.38. The Liga NOS average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 25% of Casa Pia's.

What form are Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia in?

Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Casa Pia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.