Estrela Amadora vs Porto: match statistics
Estrela Amadora vs Porto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora play Porto in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Porto: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 1.12 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Porto scores 1.94 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 47%, Porto 38%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 53%, Porto 56%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Porto has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.15. Estrela Amadora: 10.8 shots per match, Porto: 14.5.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56. Porto: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (9 goals). Porto: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Porto is the clear favorite: this season they have 25 wins, 4 draws and only 1 defeat with a goal record of 61-14, while Estrela has 6 wins, 10 draws, 14 losses and a 33-49 goal record. At home Estrela averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 1.47 per match, whereas Porto away scores 2.00 and concedes only 0.53 — the defensive gap is nearly 1.0 goal per game. Porto averages 5.4 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate, Estrela has 4.13 shots on target and 10% conversion; Porto’s average xG away is 1.63 versus Estrela’s 1.40 at home, indicating higher quality chances created. In the last 5 matches Estrela scored 5 goals and averages only 0.6 points per game (record 1 win, 4 losses), Porto has 6 goals in the last 5 and 1.6 points per game plus 0% of away games without scoring and 60% clean sheets on the road. Considering Porto’s advantage in efficiency (61 vs 33 season goals), defense (14 vs 49 conceded) and result stability, I tip the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Porto is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.4 pts / match - Porto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.94 goals / match - Porto
Porto is 211% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.53 goals / match - Porto
Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 62% (21 of 34 matches).
Porto scores in 97% of matches (33 of 34 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estrela Amadora
Over / Under — Porto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.12 pts / match - Porto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Porto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
Porto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Porto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.76 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 - 1 Porto. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Porto?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 1:2 Porto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Porto?
Estrela Amadora score 1.12 goals per game on average and Porto 1.94. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 38% of Porto's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Porto in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Porto 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Porto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.