Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira: match statistics
Deportivo La Guaira displays decidedly better form with three wins and two draws in the last five matches, whereas Estudiantes Mérida has won only two of their last five. The visitors remain unbeaten this season (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and have a better goal difference (8:3 vs 10:8). Estudiantes Mérida hasn't won a home match this season (0% efficiency), conceding an average of 2 goals per match in front of their own fans. Deportivo La Guaira possesses better average xG (1.49 vs 1.42) and higher possession (58% vs 56%), indicating greater control of the game. Considering the hosts' poor form at their own stadium and the visitors' impressive unbeaten streak, I predict a victory for Deportivo La Guaira, although a draw is also possible due to the visitors' last two away draws.
Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Estudiantes Mérida played against Deportivo La Guaira in Primera División (Venezuela). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Estudiantes Mérida has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Deportivo La Guaira has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Estudiantes Mérida scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.60. Deportivo La Guaira scores 1.60 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Estudiantes Mérida's games and 40% of Deportivo La Guaira's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 20%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportivo La Guaira has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.16 per game. Estudiantes Mérida takes 9.8 shots per game, while Deportivo La Guaira takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Estudiantes Mérida leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo La Guaira leads at halftime in 80% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Estudiantes Mérida's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Deportivo La Guaira, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo La Guaira displays decidedly better form with three wins and two draws in the last five matches, whereas Estudiantes Mérida has won only two of their last five. The visitors remain unbeaten this season (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and have a better goal difference (8:3 vs 10:8). Estudiantes Mérida hasn't won a home match this season (0% efficiency), conceding an average of 2 goals per match in front of their own fans. Deportivo La Guaira possesses better average xG (1.49 vs 1.42) and higher possession (58% vs 56%), indicating greater control of the game. Considering the hosts' poor form at their own stadium and the visitors' impressive unbeaten streak, I predict a victory for Deportivo La Guaira, although a draw is also possible due to the visitors' last two away draws.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Mérida | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Deportivo La Guaira is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 2.2 pts / game - Deportivo La Guaira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.6 goals / game - Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo La Guaira is 167% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 0.6 goals / game - Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Deportivo La Guaira keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
Deportivo La Guaira scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
Over / Under - Deportivo La Guaira
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo La Guaira is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 2.6 pts / game - Deportivo La Guaira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Deportivo La Guaira - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 80% of games and wins 60%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Estudiantes Mérida
Deportivo La Guaira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Mérida | Liga | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.60 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 49% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Estudiantes Mérida's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Deportivo La Guaira. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes Mérida 0:1 Deportivo La Guaira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Mérida and Deportivo La Guaira?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Mérida won 0, Deportivo La Guaira won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Estudiantes Mérida score 2.00 goals per game on average and Deportivo La Guaira 1.60. The Primera División average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Estudiantes Mérida's matches and 40% of Deportivo La Guaira's.
What form are Estudiantes Mérida and Deportivo La Guaira in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Mérida have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportivo La Guaira 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.