Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of a draw in this encounter. Ethiopia Bunna displays poor home form with only a 30% home win rate and a -4 goal difference, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game. Conversely, Bahardar adopts a highly defensive style on the road, boasting a 60% draw rate and an impressive 50% Clean Sheets record, conceding just 0.7 goals on average. Recent form for both sides is average (Ethiopia Bunna: 1.4 PPG, Bahardar: 1.2 PPG). Furthermore, low conversion rates (10% for the hosts, 8% for the visitors) and Bahardar's high failure to score rate (50% FTS) suggest a low-tempo encounter. Given that Bahardar's away matches average just 1.3 total goals and their tendency to draw is dominant, I anticipate a tight contest resulting in shared points.
Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna play Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 March 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 47%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 37%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.22. Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.3.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (9 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of a draw in this encounter. Ethiopia Bunna displays poor home form with only a 30% home win rate and a -4 goal difference, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game. Conversely, Bahardar adopts a highly defensive style on the road, boasting a 60% draw rate and an impressive 50% Clean Sheets record, conceding just 0.7 goals on average. Recent form for both sides is average (Ethiopia Bunna: 1.4 PPG, Bahardar: 1.2 PPG). Furthermore, low conversion rates (10% for the hosts, 8% for the visitors) and Bahardar's high failure to score rate (50% FTS) suggest a low-tempo encounter. Given that Bahardar's away matches average just 1.3 total goals and their tendency to draw is dominant, I anticipate a tight contest resulting in shared points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under — Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.08 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopia Bunna 0 - 1 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 2:0 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar?
Ethiopia Bunna score 1.05 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 32% of Bahardar's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bahardar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.