Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelakeya. Although the hosts occupy a lower position in the table (14th place), they present decent form in home matches with 40% wins and a favorable goal difference (+3). Mekelakeya, despite a higher position (6th place) and better possession (59%), has earned just 1 point per match in the last five games, suggesting a dip in form. A key factor is the efficiency of both teams - the hosts average 1.4 goals at home, while the visitors score 1.7 goals away, but their recent form (wldld) raises doubts. Given the balanced xG statistics (1.22 vs 1.3), similar shot conversion (18% vs 19%), and the history of draws for both teams this season (30% and 40%), a split of points is the most probable result.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Nigd Bank play Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 3 March 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%, Mekelakeya 41%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%, Mekelakeya 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.13. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 8.6.
Match halves
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelakeya. Although the hosts occupy a lower position in the table (14th place), they present decent form in home matches with 40% wins and a favorable goal difference (+3). Mekelakeya, despite a higher position (6th place) and better possession (59%), has earned just 1 point per match in the last five games, suggesting a dip in form. A key factor is the efficiency of both teams - the hosts average 1.4 goals at home, while the visitors score 1.7 goals away, but their recent form (wldld) raises doubts. Given the balanced xG statistics (1.22 vs 1.3), similar shot conversion (18% vs 19%), and the history of draws for both teams this season (30% and 40%), a split of points is the most probable result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.37 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 - 0 - 1 Mekelakeya. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0:2 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.18 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.15. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 41% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.