Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelakeya. Although the hosts occupy a lower position in the table (14th place), they present decent form in home matches with 40% wins and a favorable goal difference (+3). Mekelakeya, despite a higher position (6th place) and better possession (59%), has earned just 1 point per match in the last five games, suggesting a dip in form. A key factor is the efficiency of both teams - the hosts average 1.4 goals at home, while the visitors score 1.7 goals away, but their recent form (wldld) raises doubts. Given the balanced xG statistics (1.22 vs 1.3), similar shot conversion (18% vs 19%), and the history of draws for both teams this season (30% and 40%), a split of points is the most probable result.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopia Nigd Bank played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mekelakeya has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.29. Mekelakeya scores 1.27 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 1.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's games and 45% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 32%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.16 per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 6.2 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 8.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.36 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.74 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelakeya. Although the hosts occupy a lower position in the table (14th place), they present decent form in home matches with 40% wins and a favorable goal difference (+3). Mekelakeya, despite a higher position (6th place) and better possession (59%), has earned just 1 point per match in the last five games, suggesting a dip in form. A key factor is the efficiency of both teams - the hosts average 1.4 goals at home, while the visitors score 1.7 goals away, but their recent form (wldld) raises doubts. Given the balanced xG statistics (1.22 vs 1.3), similar shot conversion (18% vs 19%), and the history of draws for both teams this season (30% and 40%), a split of points is the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.95 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 games), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 games).
Mekelakeya scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 games), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.68 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.52 | 1.74 | ▲ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 41% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 41% | • 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalAlembirhan Yigzaw Azanawe
Head-to-head
Record from Ethiopia Nigd Bank's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Mekelakeya. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0:2 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.24 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.27. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 45% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.