Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Nigd Bank play Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%, Sheger Ketema 41%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%, Sheger Ketema 22%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.11. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.3.
Match halves
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I expect a draw because both teams have almost identical expected xG (Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.22 vs Sheger Ketema 1.23) and similar average goals conceded (home side 1.07 conceded at home vs 1.00 conceded by visitors away). The hosts convert better at their ground — an average of 3.14 shots on target and a 19% conversion yield 1.53 goals per game — but in the last 5 matches they scored only 3 goals and average 0.8 points per game (1W, 1D, 3L). Sheger Ketema show greater form stability: in their last 5 they have 2 wins and 3 draws, scored 5 and conceded only 2, averaging 1.8 points per game; away they also record 43% draws and only 21% of matches without scoring. Considering the visitors’ form advantage and the hosts’ superior home efficiency, a share of the points looks most likely.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Sheger Ketema is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.37 | 1.78 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 49% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 - 1 - 0 Sheger Ketema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:1 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sheger Ketema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.18 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 41% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sheger Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.