Ethiopian Medhin vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Kedus Giorgis is the clear favorite for this encounter. Ethiopian Medhin is in disastrous home form, having failed to win a single home match this season (0% win rate), with 78% of games ending without them scoring and an average of just 0.22 goals per match. Their last five matches resulted in four draws and one loss, confirming a lack of offensive potency. Despite average away form (30% win rate), Kedus Giorgis possesses significantly better offensive stats, averaging 0.7 goals per away game, 3.4 shots on target, and a higher conversion rate (8% vs 4%). Additionally, the visitors show superior xG values (1.29 vs 1.16 for the hosts), indicating higher quality chance creation. Given the hosts' dramatic offensive struggles and the technical superiority of the visitors, Kedus Giorgis has a real chance of taking all three points, although difficult away conditions could also lead to a draw.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin play Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 43%, Kedus Giorgis 32%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 24%, Kedus Giorgis 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.22. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 8.0.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Kedus Giorgis is the clear favorite for this encounter. Ethiopian Medhin is in disastrous home form, having failed to win a single home match this season (0% win rate), with 78% of games ending without them scoring and an average of just 0.22 goals per match. Their last five matches resulted in four draws and one loss, confirming a lack of offensive potency. Despite average away form (30% win rate), Kedus Giorgis possesses significantly better offensive stats, averaging 0.7 goals per away game, 3.4 shots on target, and a higher conversion rate (8% vs 4%). Additionally, the visitors show superior xG values (1.29 vs 1.16 for the hosts), indicating higher quality chance creation. Given the hosts' dramatic offensive struggles and the technical superiority of the visitors, Kedus Giorgis has a real chance of taking all three points, although difficult away conditions could also lead to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kedus Giorgis is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under — Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.78 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopian Medhin 0 - 0 - 1 Kedus Giorgis. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 3:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Kedus Giorgis?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.78 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.89. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 32% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Kedus Giorgis?
The statistical background for Ethiopian Medhin vs Kedus Giorgis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.