Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade UmugandaData current as of October 14, 2026

Etincelles vs Marines: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Etincelles vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Etincelles plays Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stade Umuganda.

Recent form

Etincelles has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.75 points per game. Marines has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.33 points per game.

Scoring records

Etincelles scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 0.50. Marines scores 1.33 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 1.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Etincelles's games and 33% of Marines's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 33%, compared with league averages of 23% for BTTS and 15% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.27 per game. Etincelles takes 9.8 shots per game, while Marines takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Etincelles leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Marines leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Etincelles's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Marines, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 1.54 goals. Both teams score in 23% of games, and 15% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

EtincellesMarines
0.5Goals scored / game1.33
EtincellesMarines
0.5Goals allowed / game1.33
EtincellesMarines
51%Average possession49%
EtincellesMarines
3.5Shots on target / game5.67
EtincellesMarines

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.75Shots per game13
EtincellesMarines
3.5Shots on target5.67
EtincellesMarines
5.1%Shot conversion10.3%
EtincellesMarines
51%Possession49%
EtincellesMarines
1.27xG for1.76
EtincellesMarines
1.23xG against1.26
EtincellesMarines

Shooting quality

Etincelles: BalancedMarines: Balanced
EtincellesMarines
Accuracy (shots on target)36%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Etincelles is 32% better for: last-5 form.

1.75 pts / game - Etincelles · 1.33 pts / game - Marines

Etincelles
DWWL
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Marines
WLD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 166% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Etincelles · 1.33 goals / game - Marines

Etincelles is 166% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Etincelles · 1.33 goals / game - Marines

Etincelles scoring profile: more difficult

Etincelles scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).

Marines scoring profile: more difficult

Marines scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 games).

2Goals scored (season)4
EtincellesMarines
2Goals conceded (season)4
EtincellesMarines
1Average goals per game2.67
EtincellesMarines
2Goals scored (last 5)4
EtincellesMarines
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
EtincellesMarines

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal67%
EtincellesMarines
0%2 goals67%
EtincellesMarines
0%3 goals0%
EtincellesMarines
0%4 goals0%
EtincellesMarines

How often they concede at least...

25%1 goal33%
EtincellesMarines
25%2 goals33%
EtincellesMarines
0%3 goals33%
EtincellesMarines
0%4 goals33%
EtincellesMarines

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
EtincellesMarines
0%BTTS in both halves0%
EtincellesMarines
0%Scored in both halves0%
EtincellesMarines

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
EtincellesMarines
0%BTTS - last 533%
EtincellesMarines

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
EtincellesMarines

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
EtincellesMarines

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Etincelles · 2.33 pts / game - Marines

Etincelles - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Marines - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)2.33
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1.33
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
EtincellesMarines
0.5Average goals (1st half)1.67
EtincellesMarines
75%Clean sheet before half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
75%No goal before half-time33%
EtincellesMarines

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)0.67
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1
EtincellesMarines
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1
EtincellesMarines
75%Clean sheet after half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
75%No goal after half-time100%
EtincellesMarines

Etincelles - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Marines - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Etincelles - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.251.25
Goals scored / game0.30.3
Goals allowed / game0.30.3
Average goals per game0.50.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%75%
No goal75%75%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Marines - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.330.67
Goals scored / game1.30.0
Goals allowed / game0.31.0
Average goals per game1.71.0
1 goal67%33%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%100%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Etincelles
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Marines
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+91%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Etincelles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
215%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

EtincellesLigaMarines
Average goals per game▼ 1.001.54▲ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 0%23%▲ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%15%▲ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 75%46%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%62%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%54%▼ 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.54
Average goals per game
23%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
46%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / game
0.62
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
12%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Etincelles's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Marines. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
Etincelles
0 : 2
Marines

FAQ

When do Etincelles and Marines play?

Etincelles face Marines on October 17, 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Umuganda. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Etincelles and Marines?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Etincelles won 1, Marines won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Marines?

Etincelles score 0.50 goals per game on average and Marines 1.33. The National Soccer League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Etincelles's matches and 33% of Marines's.

What form are Etincelles and Marines in?

Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Marines 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Marines?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.