Excelsior vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Excelsior played against NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Excelsior has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. NAC Breda has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Excelsior scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.85. NAC Breda scores 1.15 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 3.36 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of Excelsior's games and 62% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 69%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Excelsior has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.33 per game. Excelsior takes 12.2 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Excelsior leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.69 after halftime.

When the teams score

Excelsior's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eredivisie games average 3.36 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
6Shots22
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
2Shots on target3
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0.68xG1.95
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1Corners6
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
20Dangerous attacks48
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
22Fouls12
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
4Cards1
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1.15
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1.85Goals allowed / game1.69
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
44%Average possession47%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
4.31Shots on target / game3.85
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.23Shots per game12.31
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
4.31Shots on target3.85
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
8.2%Shot conversion9.4%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
44%Possession47%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1.37xG for1.33
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1.93xG against1.58
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

Shooting quality

Excelsior: BalancedNAC Breda: Balanced
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Excelsior is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Excelsior · 1 pts / game - NAC Breda

Excelsior
WLDLW
Season result split
31% W8% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-8
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
NAC Breda
DDWLL
Season result split
23% W23% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-7
0.92 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NAC Breda is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.15 goals / game - NAC Breda

NAC Breda is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.85 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.69 goals / game - NAC Breda

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 meczów).

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).

13Goals scored (season)15
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
24Goals conceded (season)22
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
2.85Average goals per game2.85
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
6Goals scored (last 5)7
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal69%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
23%2 goals38%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0%3 goals8%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0%4 goals0%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal92%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
62%2 goals62%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
15%3 goals15%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
15%4 goals0%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time15%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
23%Scored in both halves15%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
60%BTTS - last 560%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Excelsior is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / game - Excelsior · 1.15 pts / game - NAC Breda

Excelsior - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
NAC Breda - half-time state
31% leading23% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per game (1st half)1.15
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.46
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1.31Average goals (1st half)1.08
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
54%Clean sheet before half-time38%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
38%No goal before half-time62%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per game (2nd half)0.92
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1.15Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.77
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
38%Clean sheet after half-time23%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
62%No goal after half-time54%
ExcelsiorNAC Breda

Excelsior - second-half results

23% W23% D54% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

NAC Breda - second-half results

23% W23% D54% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Excelsior - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
NAC Breda - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
0
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
6
46-60
0
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
0
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 46% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

ExcelsiorLigaNAC Breda
Average goals per game 2.853.36 2.85
Both teams scored 62%64% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%66% 69%
Clean sheets 15%19% 8%
Goal before half-time 77%87% 85%
Goal after half-time 85%86% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.36
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ExcelsiorYellow cardCasper Widell
  2. ExcelsiorGoalNoah Naujoks
  3. NAC BredaYellow cardRio Hillen
  4. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Adam CarlénOff: Lennard Hartjes
  5. ExcelsiorYellow cardIrakli Yegoian
  6. ExcelsiorYellow cardArthur Zagre
  7. ExcelsiorYellow cardRick Meissen
  8. NAC BredaSubstitutionOn: Clint LeemansOff: Kamal Sowah
  9. NAC BredaSubstitutionOn: Dion VersluisOff: Denis Odoi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Serdar GözübüyükMatches officiated: 17
4.12Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 241%Home wins18%Draws41%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Excelsior vs NAC Breda?

The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 1:0 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs NAC Breda?

Excelsior score 1.00 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.15. The Eredivisie average is 3.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Excelsior's matches and 62% of NAC Breda's.

What form are Excelsior and NAC Breda in?

Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and NAC Breda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs NAC Breda?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Excelsior vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.