Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Excelsior play PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 18:45. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Excelsior: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Excelsior scores 1.26 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.29 and concedes 2.09. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Excelsior 65%, PEC Zwolle 68%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 62%, PEC Zwolle 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Excelsior has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.12. Excelsior: 12.4 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 9.7.

Match halves

Excelsior: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

Excelsior: 76-90+ (12 goals). PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13Shots9
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
4Shots on target3
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.39xG1.11
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
3Corners1
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
40Dangerous attacks45
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13Fouls7
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1Cards1
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.26Goals scored / match1.29
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.65Goals conceded / match2.09
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
48%Average possession45%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
4.24Shots on target / match3.53
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.44Shots per match9.65
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
4.24Shots on target3.53
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
10.2%Shot conversion13.4%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
48%Possession45%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.39xG for1.12
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.67xG against1.92
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Shooting quality

Excelsior: BalancedPEC Zwolle: Counter-attacking
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Excelsior is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Excelsior · 0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-9
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
PEC Zwolle
DLWLL
Season result split
26% W29% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-15
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Excelsior is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.65 goals / match - Excelsior · 2.09 goals / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

PEC Zwolle scoring profile: very strong

PEC Zwolle scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

43Goals scored (season)44
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
56Goals conceded (season)71
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
2.91Average goals in match3.38
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
14Goals scored (last 5)6
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal82%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
32%2 goals38%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
9%3 goals6%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
3%4 goals3%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
59%2 goals59%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
9%3 goals24%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
9%4 goals18%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time32%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
6%BTTS in both halves12%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
24%Scored in both halves26%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
80%BTTS - last 560%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Excelsior is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Excelsior · 1.24 pts / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior - half-time state
32% leading38% draw29% trailing
PEC Zwolle - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.24
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.68
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.97
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.65
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
56%Clean sheet before half-time41%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
44%No goal before half-time44%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)0.94
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.12
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.74
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
35%Clean sheet after half-time32%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
53%No goal after half-time47%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Excelsior - second-half results

21% W41% R38% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PEC Zwolle - second-half results

15% W50% R35% P
42
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Excelsior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
PEC Zwolle - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.62.0
Average goals in match1.02.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
5
8
16-30
8
8
31-45
4
16
46-60
6
9
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

PEC Zwolle
ScoredConceded
10
7
0-15
6
10
16-30
7
16
31-45
7
10
46-60
7
9
61-75
7
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

PEC Zwolle

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

ExcelsiorLigaPEC Zwolle
Average goals in match 2.913.17 3.38
Both teams scored 65%63% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%61% 62%
Clean sheets 18%20% 18%
Goal before half-time 76%80% 82%
Goal after half-time 82%84% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Excelsior 0 - 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle?

The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 2:1 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle?

Excelsior score 1.26 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.29. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Excelsior's matches and 68% of PEC Zwolle's.

What form are Excelsior and PEC Zwolle in?

Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.