Excelsior vs Telstar: match statistics
The analysis suggests very even chances for both teams. Excelsior display better home form with a 44% win rate, recently securing 3 wins in 5 matches, yielding 1.8 points per match. Despite a lower league position (15th place), Telstar show a significant improvement in form with 2.0 points per match in their last 5 outings and three wins. A key factor is Telstar's high away draw rate (25%) and their solid defense, boasting 38% clean sheets. The xG statistics for both teams are close (Excelsior 1.30 vs Telstar 1.21), confirming the comparable quality of play. Considering the poor scoring efficiency of both sides and their similar goal difference (-2 vs -3), the most probable scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts.
Excelsior vs Telstar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Excelsior played against Telstar in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Excelsior has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Telstar has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Excelsior scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.88. Telstar scores 1.22 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Excelsior's games and 61% of Telstar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 50%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Telstar has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.32 per game. Excelsior takes 11.9 shots per game, while Telstar takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Excelsior leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Telstar leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Excelsior's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Telstar, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis suggests very even chances for both teams. Excelsior display better home form with a 44% win rate, recently securing 3 wins in 5 matches, yielding 1.8 points per match. Despite a lower league position (15th place), Telstar show a significant improvement in form with 2.0 points per match in their last 5 outings and three wins. A key factor is Telstar's high away draw rate (25%) and their solid defense, boasting 38% clean sheets. The xG statistics for both teams are close (Excelsior 1.30 vs Telstar 1.21), confirming the comparable quality of play. Considering the poor scoring efficiency of both sides and their similar goal difference (-2 vs -3), the most probable scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Excelsior is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Excelsior · 1 pts / game - Telstar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Telstar is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.22 goals / game - Telstar
Telstar is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.67 goals / game - Telstar
Excelsior scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
Telstar scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Excelsior
Over / Under - Telstar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Excelsior · 1 pts / game - Telstar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Excelsior
Telstar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.88 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 62% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Excelsior's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Telstar. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Telstar?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 2:2 Telstar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Telstar?
Excelsior score 1.00 goals per game on average and Telstar 1.22. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Excelsior's matches and 61% of Telstar's.
What form are Excelsior and Telstar in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Telstar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Telstar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.