Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Exeter City presents solid home form with a 47% win rate and a positive goal difference (+8) at their own stadium, averaging 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.5. Bolton Wanderers, despite being third in the table, has a weaker away disposition (24% win rate, -6 goal difference), although their recent form is good (1.8 points per game). The hosts maintain high possession (55%) and shot efficiency (11%), which may cause problems for the visitors. Bolton is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (47%), which, combined with the balanced xG stats of both teams (1.5 vs 1.6), suggests a difficult-to-predict, tight match. Taking into account Exeter's home advantage and Bolton's tendency to draw on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario.
Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Exeter City played against Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Recent form
Exeter City has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Exeter City scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.06. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.32 and allows 0.97. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Exeter City's games and 59% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 41%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bolton Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.23 per game. Exeter City takes 10.6 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 16.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Exeter City leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Exeter City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City presents solid home form with a 47% win rate and a positive goal difference (+8) at their own stadium, averaging 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.5. Bolton Wanderers, despite being third in the table, has a weaker away disposition (24% win rate, -6 goal difference), although their recent form is good (1.8 points per game). The hosts maintain high possession (55%) and shot efficiency (11%), which may cause problems for the visitors. Bolton is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (47%), which, combined with the balanced xG stats of both teams (1.5 vs 1.6), suggests a difficult-to-predict, tight match. Taking into account Exeter's home advantage and Bolton's tendency to draw on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bolton Wanderers is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Exeter City · 1.8 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Exeter City · 1.32 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Exeter City · 0.97 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers
Exeter City scores in 66% of games (21 of 32 meczów), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 meczów).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 79% of games (27 of 34 meczów), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolton Wanderers is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Exeter City · 1.26 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Exeter City
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.22 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Exeter City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bolton Wanderers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 1:5 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Exeter City score 1.16 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.32. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Exeter City's matches and 59% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.