Fafe vs Paredes: match statistics
Fafe displays impressive home form with 58% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.92, and their xG (1.89) significantly exceeds xG Against (1.03), indicating dominance in home matches. Paredes as a visitor wins only 33% of away matches and struggles with efficiency – as many as 33% of their matches end without scoring a goal. The form in the last five matches is comparable (Fafe 1.6 PPG vs Paredes 1.4 PPG), but the home advantage and better offensive and defensive statistics speak in favor of a Fafe victory. The high possession rate (56%) and shot accuracy of the hosts further strengthen this prediction.
Fafe vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fafe played against Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fafe has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Paredes has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Fafe scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.13. Paredes scores 1.22 and allows 0.74. Games in this league average 2.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Fafe's games and 39% of Paredes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 39%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fafe has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.44 per game. Fafe takes 11.9 shots per game, while Paredes takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Fafe leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Paredes leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fafe's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Paredes, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.21 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe displays impressive home form with 58% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.92, and their xG (1.89) significantly exceeds xG Against (1.03), indicating dominance in home matches. Paredes as a visitor wins only 33% of away matches and struggles with efficiency – as many as 33% of their matches end without scoring a goal. The form in the last five matches is comparable (Fafe 1.6 PPG vs Paredes 1.4 PPG), but the home advantage and better offensive and defensive statistics speak in favor of a Fafe victory. The high possession rate (56%) and shot accuracy of the hosts further strengthen this prediction.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fafe is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Fafe · 1.4 pts / game - Paredes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Fafe · 0.74 goals / game - Paredes
Fafe scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Paredes scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - Paredes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Fafe · 1.91 pts / game - Paredes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 35%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fafe
Paredes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.39 | 2.21 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 39% | • 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 74% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fafe's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Paredes. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs Paredes?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 1:0 Paredes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fafe and Paredes?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fafe won 1, Paredes won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs Paredes?
Fafe score 1.26 goals per game on average and Paredes 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Fafe's matches and 39% of Paredes's.
What form are Fafe and Paredes in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paredes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs Paredes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.