Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced rivalry between the two teams. Fajr Sepasi has poor home form with 50% losses and only 38% wins, recording a negative goal difference (-3) on their own pitch. Kheybar Khorramabad adopts a defensive stance on the road, conceding an average of only 0.88 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 38% of games. Both teams have an identical points record in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), and their recent forms suggest a tendency towards draws, especially for the visitors (3 draws in the last 5 games). Given the hosts' low efficiency in home matches (1 goal on average) and the visitors' defensive solidity, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts hold a slight advantage playing at their own stadium.
Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fajr Sepasi played against Kheybar Khorramabad in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The game was played on January 28, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Fajr Sepasi has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Kheybar Khorramabad has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Fajr Sepasi scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 1.18. Kheybar Khorramabad scores 0.94 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 1.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Fajr Sepasi's games and 53% of Kheybar Khorramabad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 35%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kheybar Khorramabad has the higher season xG average, 1.08 to 0.76 per game. Fajr Sepasi takes 0.9 shots per game, while Kheybar Khorramabad takes 1.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Fajr Sepasi leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Kheybar Khorramabad leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fajr Sepasi's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Kheybar Khorramabad, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Persian Gulf Pro League games average 1.70 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced rivalry between the two teams. Fajr Sepasi has poor home form with 50% losses and only 38% wins, recording a negative goal difference (-3) on their own pitch. Kheybar Khorramabad adopts a defensive stance on the road, conceding an average of only 0.88 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 38% of games. Both teams have an identical points record in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), and their recent forms suggest a tendency towards draws, especially for the visitors (3 draws in the last 5 games). Given the hosts' low efficiency in home matches (1 goal on average) and the visitors' defensive solidity, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts hold a slight advantage playing at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fajr Sepasi | Kheybar Khorramabad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -19% | -10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fajr Sepasi is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Fajr Sepasi · 0.94 goals / game - Kheybar Khorramabad
Kheybar Khorramabad is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Fajr Sepasi · 0.94 goals / game - Kheybar Khorramabad
Fajr Sepasi scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Kheybar Khorramabad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Kheybar Khorramabad scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Fajr Sepasi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fajr Sepasi
Over / Under - Kheybar Khorramabad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fajr Sepasi is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Fajr Sepasi · 1.12 pts / game - Kheybar Khorramabad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fajr Sepasi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kheybar Khorramabad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fajr Sepasi
Kheybar Khorramabad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Fajr Sepasi | Liga | Kheybar Khorramabad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.24 | 1.70 | ▲ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 36% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 44% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Fajr Sepasi's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Kheybar Khorramabad. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Fajr Sepasi 2:1 Kheybar Khorramabad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Fajr Sepasi score 1.06 goals per game on average and Kheybar Khorramabad 0.94. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Fajr Sepasi's matches and 53% of Kheybar Khorramabad's.
What form are Fajr Sepasi and Kheybar Khorramabad in?
Over the last 5 games Fajr Sepasi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kheybar Khorramabad 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.