Scotland - PremiershipData current as of September 11, 2026

Falkirk vs Hibernian: match statistics

Falkirk crest
Falkirk
4 : 1half-time 2:0
Hibernian crest
Hibernian
130%(3.04)
X28%(3.23)
242%(2.08)

Hibernian presents clearly better form than Falkirk, confirmed by the points per match record in the last five games (2.0 vs 1.4) and the visitors' three-game winning streak. The visitors have a positive goal difference away (+3) and higher shooting efficiency (12% vs 10%), while the hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0). Falkirk does not win often in home matches (27% wins, 45% draws), suggesting difficulties breaking down rival defenses. Hibernian has scored 37 goals this season compared to just 23 for Falkirk, indicating greater offensive potential. Expected goals (xG) are comparable, but the advantage in form and efficiency speaks for an away win, although a tight match with the possibility of a draw is expected.

Falkirk vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Falkirk played against Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 4:1.

Recent form

Falkirk has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Hibernian has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Falkirk scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.27. Hibernian scores 1.68 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Falkirk's games and 55% of Hibernian's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 55%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hibernian has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.36 per game. Falkirk takes 11.9 shots per game, while Hibernian takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Falkirk leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Hibernian leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

Falkirk's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Hibernian, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Hibernian presents clearly better form than Falkirk, confirmed by the points per match record in the last five games (2.0 vs 1.4) and the visitors' three-game winning streak. The visitors have a positive goal difference away (+3) and higher shooting efficiency (12% vs 10%), while the hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0). Falkirk does not win often in home matches (27% wins, 45% draws), suggesting difficulties breaking down rival defenses. Hibernian has scored 37 goals this season compared to just 23 for Falkirk, indicating greater offensive potential. Expected goals (xG) are comparable, but the advantage in form and efficiency speaks for an away win, although a tight match with the possibility of a draw is expected.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
FalkirkHibernian
17Shots10
FalkirkHibernian
5Shots on target4
FalkirkHibernian
1.76xG1.25
FalkirkHibernian
7Corners4
FalkirkHibernian
47Dangerous attacks47
FalkirkHibernian
14Fouls14
FalkirkHibernian
2Cards2
FalkirkHibernian

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.05Goals scored / game1.68
FalkirkHibernian
1.27Goals allowed / game1.09
FalkirkHibernian
51%Average possession48%
FalkirkHibernian
3.95Shots on target / game5.27
FalkirkHibernian

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.91Shots per game13.36
FalkirkHibernian
3.95Shots on target5.27
FalkirkHibernian
8.8%Shot conversion12.6%
FalkirkHibernian
51%Possession48%
FalkirkHibernian
1.36xG for1.55
FalkirkHibernian
1.47xG against1.33
FalkirkHibernian

Shooting quality

Falkirk: BalancedHibernian: Balanced
FalkirkHibernian
Accuracy (shots on target)33%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hibernian is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Falkirk · 2.2 pts / game - Hibernian

Falkirk
WLWWL
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-8
1.36 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Hibernian
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
41% W36% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-5
1.59 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hibernian is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1.05 goals / game - Falkirk · 1.68 goals / game - Hibernian

Hibernian is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.27 goals / game - Falkirk · 1.09 goals / game - Hibernian

Falkirk scoring profile: strong

Falkirk scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).

Hibernian scoring profile: very strong

Hibernian scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)37
FalkirkHibernian
28Goals conceded (season)24
FalkirkHibernian
2.32Average goals per game2.77
FalkirkHibernian
4Goals scored (last 5)10
FalkirkHibernian
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
FalkirkHibernian

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal77%
FalkirkHibernian
32%2 goals59%
FalkirkHibernian
9%3 goals27%
FalkirkHibernian
0%4 goals5%
FalkirkHibernian

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal73%
FalkirkHibernian
36%2 goals32%
FalkirkHibernian
18%3 goals5%
FalkirkHibernian
5%4 goals0%
FalkirkHibernian

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time27%
FalkirkHibernian
0%BTTS in both halves9%
FalkirkHibernian
9%Scored in both halves41%
FalkirkHibernian

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
FalkirkHibernian
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
FalkirkHibernian
0%BTTS - last 580%
FalkirkHibernian

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
FalkirkHibernian
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
FalkirkHibernian
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
FalkirkHibernian

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
FalkirkHibernian
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
FalkirkHibernian
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
FalkirkHibernian

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hibernian is 130% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / game - Falkirk · 1.68 pts / game - Hibernian

Falkirk - half-time state
14% leading32% draw55% trailing
Hibernian - half-time state
45% leading32% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per game (1st half)1.68
FalkirkHibernian
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.82
FalkirkHibernian
0.77Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
FalkirkHibernian
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.41
FalkirkHibernian
45%Clean sheet before half-time55%
FalkirkHibernian
82%No goal before half-time41%
FalkirkHibernian

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per game (2nd half)1.55
FalkirkHibernian
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
FalkirkHibernian
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
FalkirkHibernian
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.36
FalkirkHibernian
59%Clean sheet after half-time55%
FalkirkHibernian
45%No goal after half-time41%
FalkirkHibernian

Falkirk - second-half results

45% W23% D32% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hibernian - second-half results

36% W45% D18% L
37
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 41%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Falkirk - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.20
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game0.40.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Hibernian - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.60
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
6
16-30
2
10
31-45
6
2
46-60
7
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hibernian
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
5
16-30
7
6
31-45
8
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Hibernian

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

FalkirkLigaHibernian
Average goals per game 2.322.52 2.77
Both teams scored 41%48% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 55%
Clean sheets 32%30% 27%
Goal before half-time 68%73% 77%
Goal after half-time 82%78% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FalkirkGoalBarney StewartAssist: Calvin Miller
  2. HibernianYellow cardKanayochukwu Megwa
  3. FalkirkGoalBarney StewartAssist: Calvin Miller
  4. HibernianSubstitutionOn: Elie YouanOff: Jack Henry Stewart Iredale
  5. HibernianYellow cardRocky Bushiri
  6. HibernianGoalRocky BushiriAssist: Jordan John Obita
  7. FalkirkYellow cardBrad Spencer
  8. HibernianSubstitutionOn: Rudi Allan MolotnikovOff: Kanayochukwu Megwa
  9. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Louie MarshOff: Finn Yeats
  10. FalkirkGoalBarney StewartAssist: Louie Marsh
  11. HibernianSubstitutionOn: Dylan LevittOff: Daniel Barlaser
  12. HibernianGoalGrant Hanley
  13. FalkirkYellow cardLouie Marsh

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Falkirk's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Hibernian. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Hibernian FC
3 : 0
Falkirk FC
Falkirk FC
2 : 2
Hibernian FC

FAQ

What was the result of Falkirk vs Hibernian?

The Premiership match finished Falkirk 4:1 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Hibernian?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 0, Hibernian won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Hibernian?

Falkirk score 1.05 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.68. The Premiership average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Falkirk's matches and 55% of Hibernian's.

What form are Falkirk and Hibernian in?

Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hibernian 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Hibernian?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.