Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 22 June 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Polisportivo Comunale di Tarvisio. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.12. Fasil Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Fasil Ketema sit 5th in the table while Arba Minch are 20th. This season Fasil have 12 wins, 13 draws and 10 losses, versus Arba’s 7 wins, 14 draws and 14 losses; the hosts have conceded 27 goals compared to 41 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 6 goals and conceded 7, but Arba average 1.4 points per game over that span against Fasil’s 1.2, indicating slightly better short-term form for the visitors. At home Fasil average 0.71 goals per match, generate 7.24 shots (2.47 on target) with a 10% conversion rate and xG 1.09, whereas Arba away average 1.00 goal, 7.59 shots (2.88 on target), 13% conversion and xG 1.13 — offensively the visitors are marginally more efficient. Defensively however the hosts look more solid: Fasil concede 0.82 goals per home match and have 47% clean sheets at home, while Arba have 41% clean sheets away and 41 goals conceded in the season overall. Considering the higher league position, fewer losses (10 vs 14) and generally superior defensive numbers, I tip the hosts to win; probabilities: home 55%, draw 25%, away 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arba Minch Kenema is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Fasil Ketema is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 2:0 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The statistical background for Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.