Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Fasil Ketema presents significantly better home form with 50% wins at home and an impressive 60% clean sheet rate, testifying to a solid defense. The hosts sit in 4th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, reflecting the quality gap between the two teams. The visitors have very poor efficiency away with only 20% wins and 50% of matches without scoring, which constitutes their biggest weakness. Fasil Ketema's positive goal difference in home matches (+2) and slightly better xG statistics (1.09 vs 1.06 for the guests) suggest an advantage for the hosts. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for Fasil Ketema vs 1.2 PPG for the guests) and a series of draws by Welwalo Adigrat indicate the visitors will play defensively, which may lead to a low score or a draw, but the hosts' advantage should be decisive.
Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fasil Ketema played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Fasil Ketema scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 0.55. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.62 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 1.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Fasil Ketema's games and 48% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 10% and 29%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 0.98 per game. Fasil Ketema takes 7.8 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.24 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fasil Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.73 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema presents significantly better home form with 50% wins at home and an impressive 60% clean sheet rate, testifying to a solid defense. The hosts sit in 4th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, reflecting the quality gap between the two teams. The visitors have very poor efficiency away with only 20% wins and 50% of matches without scoring, which constitutes their biggest weakness. Fasil Ketema's positive goal difference in home matches (+2) and slightly better xG statistics (1.09 vs 1.06 for the guests) suggest an advantage for the hosts. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for Fasil Ketema vs 1.2 PPG for the guests) and a series of draws by Welwalo Adigrat indicate the visitors will play defensively, which may lead to a low score or a draw, but the hosts' advantage should be decisive.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fasil Ketema is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.2 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.62 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Fasil Ketema is 107% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.55 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.14 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Fasil Ketema scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 games), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 games).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 52% of games (11 of 21 games), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 65% (13 of 20 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.19 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fasil Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.30 | 1.73 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 10% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 65% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Welwalo Adigrat UniGoalHafiz Wontah Konkoni
Head-to-head
Record from Fasil Ketema's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 1:2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Fasil Ketema score 0.75 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.62. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 48% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.