FC Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare: match statistics

FC Cetatea Suceava have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals during that period, while CSM Satu Mare have managed just 1 victory and drawn as many as 3 games. At home, the hosts average 53% possession, 16 shots and 6 shots on target per match, giving them a clear attacking edge. However, CSM Satu Mare create high-quality chances, with an average away xG of 2.03 compared to the hosts’ 1.90 at home, while the visitors allow opponents just 0.85 xG. Cetatea’s weakness is their home defense: they concede an average of 3 goals per match and have failed to keep a clean sheet, so this game should be evenly contested and carry a clear risk of the visitors scoring. The hosts’ slight advantage comes from their stronger results trend over the last five matches and greater consistency in collecting points.

Recent form clearly supports goals from both sides: Cetatea have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while CSM Satu Mare have identical averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last five matches. BTTS occurred in 60% of the hosts’ games and as many as 80% of the visitors’ matches during this period, which is close to or above the league average of 64%. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures from the last five matches: 2.00 for Cetatea and 1.71 for Satu Mare, with xG against at 1.14 and 1.28 respectively. The visitors also create more chances over the season, averaging 19 shots and 5 on target compared with 10 and 3 for the hosts, so they should find a way to score. Although Cetatea have not scored in the available season data, neither team has kept a single clean sheet, and their current form provides a stronger signal for BTTS - Yes.

The latest form of both teams points to a game with plenty of chances: Cetatea Suceava averaged 1.6 goals scored in their last five matches, while CSM Satu Mare averaged 1.4. The hosts recorded an xG of 2.00 during this period, compared with 1.71 for the visitors, providing a clear basis for expecting at least two goals. Both defenses conceded 1.4 goals per match across their last five appearances, while matches featuring at least three goals occurred in 60% of the hosts’ games and 40% of the visitors’ games. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as both teams had 100% of their season matches finish with at least two goals, and the projected total of 2.90 goals leaves a clear margin above this line.

FC Cetatea Suceava were leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while CSM Satu Mare failed to take the lead in any of them and went into half-time trailing in 3 of 5 games. During this period, the hosts averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded before the break, whereas the visitors scored just 0.4 goals and allowed opponents to score 1.2. Cetatea’s advantage is also evident in their current form: 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 1.6 goals scored, compared with CSM’s one victory and 1.4 goals per game. However, CSM have posted strong second-half numbers, conceding only 0.2 goals in this period across their last five appearances, so some of the risk lies with draw or turnaround scenarios. Nevertheless, the strongest individual scenario remains the hosts leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage through to full-time (1/1).