United States - MLS Next ProNorthern Kentucky University StadiumData current as of August 13, 2026

FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

FC Cincinnati II plays Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026. Venue: Northern Kentucky University Stadium.

Recent form

FC Cincinnati II has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Connecticut United has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

FC Cincinnati II scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 2.14. Connecticut United scores 1.90 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of FC Cincinnati II's games and 81% of Connecticut United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 86%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connecticut United has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.28 per game. FC Cincinnati II takes 10.1 shots per game, while Connecticut United takes 13.6.

First-half and second-half trends

FC Cincinnati II leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Connecticut United leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

FC Cincinnati II's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Connecticut United, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
1.05Goals scored / game1.9
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
2.14Goals allowed / game1.76
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
43%Average possession44%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
3.57Shots on target / game6.1
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.05Shots per game13.57
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
3.57Shots on target6.1
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
10.4%Shot conversion14%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
43%Possession44%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
1.28xG for1.71
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
1.82xG against1.35
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

Shooting quality

FC Cincinnati II: BalancedConnecticut United: Counter-attacking
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
Accuracy (shots on target)36%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connecticut United is 1100% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II · 2.4 pts / game - Connecticut United

FC Cincinnati II
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
19% W10% R71% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-15
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Connecticut United
WWWWL
Season result split
48% W10% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-9
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connecticut United is 81% better for: goals scored per game.

1.05 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II · 1.9 goals / game - Connecticut United

Connecticut United is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.14 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II · 1.76 goals / game - Connecticut United

FC Cincinnati II scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati II scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).

Connecticut United scoring profile: very strong

Connecticut United scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).

22Goals scored (season)40
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
45Goals conceded (season)37
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
3.19Average goals per game3.67
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
7Goals scored (last 5)12
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
16Goals conceded (last 5)8
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal86%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
24%2 goals57%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
5%3 goals33%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
5%4 goals14%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal90%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
67%2 goals62%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
33%3 goals14%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
14%4 goals10%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
FC Cincinnati II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 21 meczów
81%
Connecticut United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 21 meczów
61%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time43%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
5%BTTS in both halves14%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
10%Scored in both halves48%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS81%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
100%BTTS - last 5100%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connecticut United is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.62 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II · 1.29 pts / game - Connecticut United

FC Cincinnati II - half-time state
10% leading33% draw57% trailing
Connecticut United - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.62Points per game (1st half)1.29
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.86
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
1.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
1.62Average goals (1st half)1.62
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
24%Clean sheet before half-time43%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
67%No goal before half-time33%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.33
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.76
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
38%Clean sheet after half-time33%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United
57%No goal after half-time38%
FC Cincinnati IIConnecticut United

FC Cincinnati II - second-half results

24% W29% R48% P
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding190%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Connecticut United - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
27
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

FC Cincinnati II - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game2.01.2
Average goals per game2.81.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-6-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Connecticut United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

FC Cincinnati II
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
2
10
16-30
3
8
31-45
4
5
46-60
4
6
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Connecticut United
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
6
6
16-30
8
8
31-45
5
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

FC Cincinnati II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Connecticut United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

FC Cincinnati IILigaConnecticut United
Average goals per game 3.193.24 3.67
Both teams scored 52%61% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%66% 86%
Clean sheets 14%22% 10%
Goal before half-time 86%75% 81%
Goal after half-time 86%83% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.24
Average goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from FC Cincinnati II's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Connecticut United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Connecticut United
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II
1 : 3
Connecticut United

FAQ

When do FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United play?

FC Cincinnati II face Connecticut United on August 16, 2026 in MLS Next Pro at Northern Kentucky University Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches FC Cincinnati II won 0, Connecticut United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?

FC Cincinnati II score 1.05 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 1.90. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 52% of FC Cincinnati II's matches and 81% of Connecticut United's.

What form are FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United in?

Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati II have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connecticut United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?

The statistical background for FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.